UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Saturday, January 21, 2023·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Model Record: 10/15Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jamahal Hill won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Hill 55%45% Teixeira
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-1.0% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -164(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Teixeira)
FlyweightHIT
Brandon Moreno won by KO/TKO (R3)
Moreno 65%35% Figueiredo
LEANMarket: 55% (+9.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Moreno)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Moreno)
WelterweightHIT
Gilbert Burns won by Submission (R1)
Burns 89%11% Magny
STRONGMarket: 81% (+8.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +59(favors Burns)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Burns)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Magny)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Jessica Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 86%14% Murphy
STRONGMarket: 83% (+3.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +182(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Murphy)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Johnny Walker won by KO/TKO (R1)
Walker 62%38% Craig
LEANMarket: 62% (-0.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -95(favors Craig)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Craig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Craig)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ihor Potieria won by KO/TKO (R1)
Potieria 67%33% Rua
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+1.8% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -142(favors Rua)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Potieria)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Rua)
MiddleweightMISS
Brunno Ferreira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ferreira 21%79% Rodrigues
STRONGMarket: 26% (-5.5% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -366(favors Rodrigues)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.2(favors Rodrigues)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Rodrigues)
LightweightHIT
Thiago Moises won by Submission (R2)
Moises 86%14% Costa
STRONGMarket: 78% (+7.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +242(favors Moises)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Moises)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Moises)
WelterweightMISS
Gabriel Bonfim won by Submission (R1)
Bonfim 42%58% Lazzez
LEANMarket: 62% (-20.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -118(favors Lazzez)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.4(favors Lazzez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Lazzez)
HeavyweightHIT
Jailton Almeida won by KO/TKO (R2)
Almeida 76%24% Abdurakhimov
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +196(favors Almeida)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.8(favors Almeida)
BantamweightHIT
Cody Stamann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stamann 75%25% Lacerda
STRONGMarket: 75% (-0.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +171(favors Stamann)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Stamann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Stamann)
LightweightMISS
Ismael Bonfim won by KO/TKO (R2)
Bonfim 29%71% McKinney
CONFIDENTMarket: 49% (-19.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -186(favors McKinney)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.8(favors McKinney)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.7(favors McKinney)
WelterweightMISS
Nicolas Dalby won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dalby 49%51% Alves
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (-1.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +115(favors Dalby)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Alves)
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Josiane Nunes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nunes 82%18% Fairn
STRONG
→Elo gap: +392(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.6(favors Nunes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Fairn)
BantamweightMISS
Daniel Marcos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Marcos 48%52% Oliveira
TOSS-UPMarket: 44% (+3.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +83(favors Marcos)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)