UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Saturday, February 19, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·12 fights
Model: 10/12(83%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jamahal Hill won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hill 66%34% Walker
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (-3.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Hill)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Walker)
Catch WeightHIT
Kyle Daukaus won by Submission (R1)
Daukaus 74%26% Pickett
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (+1.7% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -24(favors Pickett)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Daukaus)
HeavyweightHIT
Parker Porter won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Porter 74%26% Baudot
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+3.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +197(favors Porter)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Porter)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Porter)
LightweightHIT
Jim Miller won by KO/TKO (R2)
Miller 60%40% Motta
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 38% (+21.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +281(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Miller)
MiddleweightHIT
Joaquin Buckley won by Decision - Split (R3)
Buckley 66%34% Alhassan
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENTMarket: 58% (+8.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -169(favors Alhassan)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Buckley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Buckley)
FeatherweightHIT
David Onama won by KO/TKO (R1)
Onama 63%37% Benitez
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 63% (+0.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -223(favors Benitez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Onama)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Benitez)
Prelims
Women's BantamweightMISS
Stephanie Egger won by Submission (R1)
Egger 44%56% Clark
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 37% (+6.9% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors Egger)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Egger)
FeatherweightHIT
Chas Skelly won by KO/TKO (R2)
Skelly 63%37% Striegl
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 65% (-1.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +343(favors Skelly)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Striegl)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Skelly)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Gloria de Paula won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Paula 50%50% Belbita
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
TOSS-UPMarket: 48% (+2.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -217(favors Belbita)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Belbita)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Belbita)
BantamweightHIT
Chad Anheliger won by KO/TKO (R3)
Anheliger 64%36% Strader
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 69% (-5.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +79(favors Anheliger)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.1(favors Strader)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Strader)
FeatherweightHIT
Jonathan Pearce won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pearce 81%19% Rodriguez
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONGMarket: 78% (+3.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +332(favors Pearce)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Pearce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +8.4(favors Pearce)
BantamweightHIT
Mario Bautista won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bautista 76%24% Perrin
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONGMarket: 76% (-0.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -17(favors Perrin)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Bautista)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Bautista)