UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Saturday, February 12, 2022·Houston, Texas, USA·14 fights
Model: 9/14(64%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightHIT
Israel Adesanya won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Adesanya 77%23% Whittaker
Over/UnderOver 68%
Under 32%Over 68%
STRONGMarket: 73% (+3.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +34(favors Adesanya)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Whittaker)
HeavyweightMISS
Tai Tuivasa won by KO/TKO (R2)
Tuivasa 46%54% Lewis
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
TOSS-UPMarket: 38% (+8.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -311(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Tuivasa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Lewis)
MiddleweightMISS
Jared Cannonier won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cannonier 38%62% Brunson
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEANMarket: 60% (-21.8% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -29(favors Brunson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Brunson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Brunson)
LightweightHIT
Renato Moicano won by Submission (R2)
Moicano 52%48% Hernandez
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-8.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -87(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Moicano)
LightweightHIT
King Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 57%43% Haqparast
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEANMarket: 58% (-1.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +160(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Green)
Prelims
HeavyweightMISS
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Split (R3)
Arlovski 47%53% Vanderaa
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-12.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +300(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vanderaa)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Casey O'Neill won by Decision - Split (R3)
O'Neill 86%14% Modafferi
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+9.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +306(favors O'Neill)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors O'Neill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors O'Neill)
BantamweightHIT
Kyler Phillips won by Submission (R3)
Phillips 86%14% Rojo
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 79% (+6.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +372(favors Phillips)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Rojo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Phillips)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Carlos Ulberg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ulberg 67%33% Cherant
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (-2.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +32(favors Ulberg)
→Striking volume advantage: +14.7(favors Ulberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cherant)
Early Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Ronnie Lawrence won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lawrence 81%19% Martinez
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+6.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +52(favors Lawrence)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Lawrence)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.5(favors Lawrence)
MiddleweightMISS
Jacob Malkoun won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Malkoun 43%57% Dobson
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEANMarket: 46% (-2.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +35(favors Malkoun)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Malkoun)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.8(favors Malkoun)
BantamweightMISS
Douglas Silva de Andrade won by Submission (R2)
Andrade 32%68% Morozov
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (-0.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +143(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Morozov)
WelterweightHIT
Jeremiah Wells won by Submission (R1)
Wells 60%40% Diamond
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +345(favors Wells)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Wells)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Diamond)
HeavyweightHIT
Maxim Grishin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Grishin 54%46% Knight
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
TOSS-UPMarket: 61% (-6.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -371(favors Knight)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Grishin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Knight)