UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Saturday, August 28, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightHIT
Giga Chikadze won by KO/TKO (R3)
Chikadze 61%39% Barboza
LEANMarket: 47% (+13.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Barboza)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Chikadze)
MiddleweightHIT
Bryan Battle won by Submission (R2)
Battle 56%44% Urbina
LEANMarket: 62% (-5.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Urbina)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Urbina)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Urbina)
BantamweightMISS
Ricky Turcios won by Decision - Split (R3)
Turcios 45%55% Hiestand
LEANMarket: 59% (-13.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Hiestand)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Hiestand)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hiestand)
WelterweightMISS
Daniel Rodriguez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rodriguez 45%55% Lee
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+2.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -180(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.4(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Lee)
MiddleweightHIT
Andre Petroski won by KO/TKO (R3)
Petroski 89%11% Gillmore
STRONGMarket: 82% (+7.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gillmore)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gillmore)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gillmore)
MiddleweightMISS
Gerald Meerschaert won by Submission (R2)
Meerschaert 22%78% Muradov
STRONGMarket: 15% (+6.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -203(favors Muradov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Meerschaert)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Meerschaert)
MiddleweightMISS
Abdul Razak Alhassan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alhassan 28%72% Chirico
CONFIDENTMarket: 32% (-3.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -182(favors Chirico)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Alhassan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Chirico)
MiddleweightMISS
Wellington Turman won by Decision - Split (R3)
Turman 43%57% Alvey
LEANMarket: 54% (-10.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -48(favors Alvey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Alvey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Turman)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Dustin Jacoby won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jacoby 50%50% Stewart
TOSS-UPMarket: 64% (-13.9% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +25(favors Jacoby)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Jacoby)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Stewart)
Women's FlyweightHIT
JJ Aldrich won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Aldrich 70%30% Demopoulos
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +69(favors Aldrich)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Aldrich)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Aldrich)
FeatherweightHIT
Pat Sabatini won by Submission (R1)
Sabatini 69%31% Emmers
CONFIDENTMarket: 43% (+25.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +70(favors Sabatini)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Emmers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Emmers)
BantamweightHIT
Mana Martinez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Martinez 74%26% Cannetti
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +179(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Cannetti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Cannetti)