UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Saturday, May 15, 2021·Houston, Texas, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Charles Oliveira won by KO/TKO (R2)
Oliveira 68%32% Chandler
CONFIDENTMarket: 55% (+13.1% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +549(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Chandler)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Oliveira)
LightweightHIT
Beneil Dariush won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dariush 59%41% Ferguson
LEANMarket: 62% (-3.6% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +22(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Ferguson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Dariush)
Bantamweight
Schnell 54%46% Bontorin
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-5.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +20(favors Schnell)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Schnell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Bontorin)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Katlyn Cerminara won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cerminara 58%42% Araujo
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +45(favors Cerminara)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Araujo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Araujo)
FeatherweightMISS
Edson Barboza won by KO/TKO (R3)
Barboza 43%57% Burgos
LEANMarket: 45% (-1.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Barboza)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Burgos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Barboza)
MiddleweightMISS
Andre Muniz won by Submission (R1)
Muniz 40%60% Souza
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -106(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Souza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Muniz)
FeatherweightHIT
Lando Vannata won by Decision - Split (R3)
Vannata 54%46% Grundy
TOSS-UPMarket: 47% (+6.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -29(favors Grundy)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Vannata)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Grundy)
MiddleweightHIT
Jordan Wright won by KO/TKO (R1)
Wright 57%43% Pickett
LEANMarket: 50% (+6.4% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +35(favors Wright)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Wright)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Pickett)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Andrea Lee won by Submission (R2)
Lee 55%45% Shevchenko
LEANMarket: 46% (+8.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -221(favors Shevchenko)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Lee)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Priscila Cachoeira won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cachoeira 28%72% Mazany
CONFIDENTMarket: 34% (-6.8% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +18(favors Cachoeira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Cachoeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Mazany)
FeatherweightHIT
Tucker Lutz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lutz 52%48% Aguilar
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (+0.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +60(favors Lutz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Aguilar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Aguilar)
LightweightHIT
Christos Giagos won by Submission (R2)
Giagos 62%38% Soriano
LEANMarket: 66% (-4.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +370(favors Giagos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Soriano)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Giagos)