UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
Saturday, December 12, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Flyweight
Figueiredo 36%64% Moreno
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +333(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Figueiredo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Figueiredo)
LightweightHIT
Charles Oliveira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Oliveira 71%29% Ferguson
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +3(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Ferguson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Oliveira)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Mackenzie Dern won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dern 47%53% Jandiroba
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Dern)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Dern)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Jandiroba)
MiddleweightHIT
Kevin Holland won by KO/TKO (R1)
Holland 75%25% Souza
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -184(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Holland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Holland)
HeavyweightHIT
Ciryl Gane won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gane 71%29% Santos
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -116(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Gane)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Gane)
FeatherweightMISS
Cub Swanson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Swanson 40%60% Pineda
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +120(favors Swanson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Swanson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Pineda)
LightweightMISS
Rafael Fiziev won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fiziev 48%52% Moicano
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -152(favors Moicano)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Moicano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Moicano)
FeatherweightHIT
Gavin Tucker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tucker 51%49% Quarantillo
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -70(favors Quarantillo)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Quarantillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Quarantillo)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Tecia Pennington won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pennington 48%52% Hughes
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +97(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Pennington)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Pennington)
FeatherweightHIT
Chase Hooper won by Submission (R3)
Hooper 66%34% Barrett
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +40(favors Hooper)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Hooper)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Hooper)