UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Saturday, August 2, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Flyweight✓
Tatsuro Taira won by Submission (R2)
Taira 74%26% Park
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +184(favors Taira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Taira)
Lightweight✓
Chris Duncan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Duncan 57%43% Rebecki
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -27(favors Rebecki)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Rebecki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Duncan)
Lightweight✓
Esteban Ribovics won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ribovics 62%38% Brener
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +139(favors Ribovics)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Ribovics)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Brener)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Karol Rosa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosa 46%54% Cornolle
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -105(favors Cornolle)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Rosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Rosa)
Welterweight✓
Neil Magny won by KO/TKO (R2)
Magny 63%37% Santos
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +134(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Santos)
Featherweight✗
Kevin Vallejos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vallejos 47%53% Silva
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -49(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Vallejos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Silva)
Bantamweight✗
Rinya Nakamura won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nakamura 48%52% Fletcher
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +68(favors Nakamura)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Fletcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Fletcher)
Middleweight✓
Rodolfo Vieira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vieira 66%34% Gore
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +205(favors Vieira)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Vieira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Gore)
Middleweight✓
Andrey Pulyaev won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pulyaev 50%50% Klein
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +42(favors Pulyaev)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Klein)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Klein)
Featherweight✓
Austin Bashi won by Submission (R1)
Bashi 59%41% Yannis
LEAN
→Elo gap: -53(favors Yannis)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Bashi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Bashi)
Flyweight✓
Rafael Estevam won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Estevam 73%27% Bunes
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +133(favors Estevam)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Bunes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.4(favors Estevam)
Women's Strawweight✗
Piera Rodriguez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rodriguez 44%56% Souza
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +68(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Souza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Rodriguez)