UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Saturday, August 2, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·12 fights
Model: 9/12(75%)
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Main Card
FlyweightHIT
Tatsuro Taira won by Submission (R2)
Taira 61%39% Park
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +174(favors Taira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Taira)
LightweightMISS
Chris Duncan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Duncan 38%62% Rebecki
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEANMarket: 32% (+6.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Rebecki)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Rebecki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Duncan)
LightweightHIT
Esteban Ribovics won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ribovics 67%33% Brener
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (-1.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +196(favors Ribovics)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Ribovics)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Brener)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Karol Rosa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosa 53%47% Cornolle
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-5.0% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -109(favors Cornolle)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Rosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Rosa)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by KO/TKO (R2)
Magny 64%36% Santos
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +192(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Santos)
FeatherweightHIT
Kevin Vallejos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vallejos 82%18% Silva
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+5.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -77(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Vallejos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Silva)
Prelims
BantamweightMISS
Rinya Nakamura won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nakamura 48%52% Fletcher
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +81(favors Nakamura)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Fletcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Fletcher)
MiddleweightHIT
Rodolfo Vieira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vieira 64%36% Gore
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +190(favors Vieira)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Vieira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Gore)
MiddleweightMISS
Andrey Pulyaev won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pulyaev 47%53% Klein
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
TOSS-UPMarket: 54% (-6.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +62(favors Pulyaev)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Klein)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Klein)
FeatherweightHIT
Austin Bashi won by Submission (R1)
Bashi 89%11% Yannis
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 87% (+1.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -49(favors Yannis)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Bashi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Bashi)
FlyweightHIT
Rafael Estevam won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Estevam 80%20% Bunes
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 84% (-3.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +161(favors Estevam)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Bunes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.4(favors Estevam)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Piera Rodriguez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rodriguez 67%33% Souza
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (-1.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +89(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Souza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Rodriguez)