UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
Saturday, December 5, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightMISS
Marvin Vettori won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Vettori 41%59% Hermansson
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -242(favors Hermansson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Hermansson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Hermansson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jamahal Hill won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hill 51%49% Preux
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -244(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.4(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Preux)
LightweightHIT
Gabriel Benitez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Benitez 70%30% Jaynes
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +32(favors Benitez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Jaynes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Benitez)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Roman Dolidze won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dolidze 63%37% Allan
LEAN
→Elo gap: +76(favors Dolidze)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Dolidze)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Allan)
LightweightHIT
Jordan Leavitt won by KO/TKO (R1)
Leavitt 64%36% Wiman
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +7(favors Leavitt)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Wiman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Wiman)
BantamweightMISS
Louis Smolka won by KO/TKO (R2)
Smolka 37%63% Quinonez
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -71(favors Quinonez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Smolka)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Quinonez)
FeatherweightHIT
Ilia Topuria won by KO/TKO (R1)
Topuria 75%25% Jackson
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +61(favors Topuria)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Jackson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Topuria)
HeavyweightMISS
Jake Collier won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Collier 49%51% Villante
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +45(favors Collier)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Villante)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Collier)