UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
Saturday, November 21, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·12 fights
Model: 6/12(50%)
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Main Card
FlyweightHIT
Deiveson Figueiredo won by Submission (R1)
Figueiredo 68%32% Perez
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENTMarket: 75% (-6.4% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +299(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Perez)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Valentina Shevchenko won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Shevchenko 90%10% Maia
Over/UnderOver 68%
Under 32%Over 68%
STRONGMarket: 91% (-0.5% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +399(favors Shevchenko)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Maia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Shevchenko)
WelterweightHIT
Tim Means won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Means 56%44% Perry
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 42% (+14.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -191(favors Perry)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Means)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Katlyn Cerminara won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cerminara 46%54% Calvillo
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -152(favors Calvillo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Calvillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Calvillo)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Paul Craig won by KO/TKO (R2)
Craig 49%51% Rua
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UPMarket: 61% (-11.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -289(favors Rua)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Rua)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Rua)
Prelims
FlyweightHIT
Brandon Moreno won by KO/TKO (R1)
Moreno 58%42% Royval
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 64% (-5.9% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +51(favors Moreno)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Royval)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Moreno)
MiddleweightHIT
Joaquin Buckley won by KO/TKO (R2)
Buckley 73%27% Wright
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (+2.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +140(favors Buckley)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.0(favors Wright)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Buckley)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Antonina Shevchenko won by KO/TKO (R2)
Shevchenko 46%54% Silva
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: -145(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Shevchenko)
WelterweightMISS
Nicolas Dalby won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dalby 38%62% Rodriguez
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 27% (+11.3% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -457(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.9(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Dalby)
Early Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Alan Jouban won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jouban 49%51% Gooden
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-7.2% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +218(favors Jouban)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.3(favors Jouban)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Jouban)
MiddleweightHIT
Kyle Daukaus won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Daukaus 72%28% Stoltzfus
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (-0.3% edge)
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -11(favors Stoltzfus)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Daukaus)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Daukaus)
WelterweightMISS
Sasha Palatnikov won by KO/TKO (R3)
Palatnikov 24%76% Cosce
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONGMarket: 23% (+1.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cosce)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cosce)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cosce)