UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar
Saturday, August 22, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 4/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
BantamweightMISS
Frankie Edgar won by Decision - Split (R5)
Edgar 34%66% Munhoz
CONFIDENTMarket: 30% (+3.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -79(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Edgar)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Mike Rodriguez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rodriguez 85%15% Prachnio
STRONGMarket: 67% (+17.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +179(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Prachnio)
LightweightHIT
Joe Solecki won by Submission (R1)
Solecki 61%39% Hubbard
LEANMarket: 47% (+13.7% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +1(favors Solecki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Solecki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Solecki)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Shana Dobson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dobson 31%69% Agapova
CONFIDENTMarket: 9% (+22.0% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -319(favors Agapova)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.1(favors Agapova)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Dobson)
WelterweightHIT
Daniel Rodriguez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rodriguez 56%44% Grant
LEANMarket: 64% (-7.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +22(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.1(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Rodriguez)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Amanda Lemos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lemos 42%58% Mizuki
LEAN
→Elo gap: -44(favors Mizuki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Lemos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Lemos)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jordan Wright won by KO/TKO (R1)
Wright 68%32% Villanueva
CONFIDENTMarket: 52% (+16.0% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +198(favors Wright)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Villanueva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Villanueva)
WelterweightMISS
Matthew Semelsberger won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Semelsberger 48%52% Minus
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Minus)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Minus)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Minus)
Catch Weight
Valiev 88%12% Jones
STRONGMarket: 90% (-2.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +247(favors Valiev)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jones)