UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
Saturday, August 15, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 8/11(73%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Stipe Miocic won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Miocic 69%31% Cormier
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENTMarket: 48% (+21.1% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +57(favors Miocic)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Cormier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Miocic)
BantamweightMISS
Marlon Vera won by KO/TKO (R1)
Vera 19%81% O'Malley
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
STRONGMarket: 28% (-8.8% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -194(favors O'Malley)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors O'Malley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Vera)
HeavyweightHIT
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rozenstruik 55%45% Santos
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +48(favors Rozenstruik)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Rozenstruik)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
FeatherweightMISS
Daniel Pineda won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pineda 18%82% Burns
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
STRONGMarket: 28% (-10.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: -565(favors Burns)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Burns)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.2(favors Burns)
BantamweightHIT
Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dvalishvili 82%18% Dodson
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
STRONGMarket: 71% (+10.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -166(favors Dodson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Dvalishvili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.3(favors Dvalishvili)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Vinc Pichel won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pichel 57%43% Miller
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 54% (+3.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +32(favors Pichel)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Pichel)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Pichel)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Virna Jandiroba won by Submission (R1)
Jandiroba 77%23% Herrig
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+3.2% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -36(favors Herrig)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Herrig)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Jandiroba)
FeatherweightMISS
Danny Chavez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Chavez 37%63% Brown
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +235(favors Chavez)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: -12.2(favors Brown)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Livinha Souza won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Souza 58%42% Yoder
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +105(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Yoder)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Souza)
Early Prelims
HeavyweightHIT
Chris Daukaus won by KO/TKO (R1)
Daukaus 53%47% Porter
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (+1.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Porter)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Porter)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Porter)
FeatherweightHIT
Kai Kamaka won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kamaka 77%23% Kelley
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
STRONGMarket: 70% (+7.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kelley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kelley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kelley)