UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
Saturday, July 18, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FlyweightHIT
Deiveson Figueiredo won by Submission (R1)
Figueiredo 74%26% Benavidez
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+5.6% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +186(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Benavidez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Benavidez)
MiddleweightHIT
Jack Hermansson won by Submission (R1)
Hermansson 63%37% Gastelum
LEANMarket: 50% (+12.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -76(favors Gastelum)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Hermansson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Hermansson)
LightweightMISS
Rafael Fiziev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fiziev 38%62% Diakiese
LEANMarket: 35% (+2.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -115(favors Diakiese)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Fiziev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Diakiese)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Ariane da Silva won by Submission (R1)
Silva 52%48% Carolina
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Carolina)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Carolina)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Silva)
FlyweightMISS
Askar Askarov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Askarov 32%68% Pantoja
CONFIDENTMarket: 36% (-3.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -287(favors Pantoja)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Pantoja)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Askarov)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Roman Dolidze won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dolidze 56%44% Ibragimov
LEANMarket: 59% (-3.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +147(favors Dolidze)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors Ibragimov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Ibragimov)
Catch WeightHIT
Grant Dawson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dawson 75%25% Narimani
STRONGMarket: 73% (+2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +271(favors Dawson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Narimani)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Dawson)
LightweightHIT
Joel Alvarez won by Submission (R1)
Alvarez 60%40% Duffy
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +26(favors Alvarez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Alvarez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Duffy)
BantamweightMISS
Brett Johns won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johns 26%74% Jackson
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (-2.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -36(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Jackson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Jackson)
BantamweightHIT
Amir Albazi won by Submission (R1)
Albazi 58%42% Gordon
LEANMarket: 57% (+0.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gordon)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gordon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gordon)
LightweightHIT
Arman Tsarukyan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tsarukyan 72%28% Ramos
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+3.0% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -162(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Ramos)
HeavyweightHIT
Serghei Spivac won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Spivac 55%45% Felipe
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -6(favors Felipe)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Spivac)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Spivac)