UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
Saturday, July 18, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates·12 fights
Model: 7/12(58%)
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Main Card
FlyweightHIT
Deiveson Figueiredo won by Submission (R1)
Figueiredo 76%24% Benavidez
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
STRONGMarket: 68% (+8.1% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +170(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Benavidez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Benavidez)
MiddleweightMISS
Jack Hermansson won by Submission (R1)
Hermansson 48%52% Gastelum
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UPMarket: 50% (-2.1% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -119(favors Gastelum)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Hermansson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Hermansson)
LightweightMISS
Rafael Fiziev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fiziev 34%66% Diakiese
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENTMarket: 35% (-1.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -90(favors Diakiese)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Fiziev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Diakiese)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Ariane da Silva won by Submission (R1)
Silva 43%57% Carolina
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -46(favors Carolina)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Carolina)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Silva)
FlyweightMISS
Askar Askarov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Askarov 39%61% Pantoja
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEANMarket: 36% (+2.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -283(favors Pantoja)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Pantoja)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Askarov)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Roman Dolidze won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dolidze 56%44% Ibragimov
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEANMarket: 59% (-3.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +191(favors Dolidze)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors Ibragimov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Ibragimov)
Prelims
Catch WeightHIT
Grant Dawson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dawson 73%27% Narimani
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENTMarket: 73% (+0.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +426(favors Dawson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Narimani)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Dawson)
LightweightHIT
Joel Alvarez won by Submission (R1)
Alvarez 60%40% Duffy
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +16(favors Alvarez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Alvarez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Duffy)
BantamweightMISS
Brett Johns won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johns 28%72% Jackson
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (-1.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Jackson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Jackson)
BantamweightHIT
Amir Albazi won by Submission (R1)
Albazi 58%42% Gordon
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 57% (+1.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gordon)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gordon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gordon)
LightweightHIT
Arman Tsarukyan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tsarukyan 67%33% Ramos
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (-2.7% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -203(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Ramos)
HeavyweightHIT
Serghei Spivac won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Spivac 55%45% Felipe
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +42(favors Spivac)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Spivac)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Spivac)