UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker
Saturday, June 27, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 8/10(80%)
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Main Card
LightweightHIT
Dustin Poirier won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Poirier 60%40% Hooker
Over/UnderOver 69%
Under 31%Over 69%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +182(favors Poirier)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Poirier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Poirier)
WelterweightHIT
Mike Perry won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Perry 77%23% Gall
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+2.5% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +215(favors Perry)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Perry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Gall)
HeavyweightHIT
Maurice Greene won by Submission (R3)
Greene 74%26% Villante
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+5.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -108(favors Villante)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Villante)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Villante)
MiddleweightHIT
Brendan Allen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Allen 68%32% Daukaus
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
CONFIDENTMarket: 73% (-5.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +546(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Allen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Allen)
WelterweightHIT
Takashi Sato won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sato 70%30% Witt
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (-0.5% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +133(favors Sato)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Sato)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Sato)
Catch WeightMISS
Julian Erosa won by Submission (R3)
Erosa 21%79% Woodson
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONGMarket: 18% (+2.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -461(favors Woodson)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Woodson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Erosa)
Prelims
LightweightMISS
Khama Worthy won by Submission (R3)
Worthy 29%71% Pena
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENTMarket: 31% (-1.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -9(favors Pena)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Worthy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Pena)
HeavyweightHIT
Tanner Boser won by KO/TKO (R1)
Boser 58%42% Lins
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEANMarket: 48% (+9.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +90(favors Boser)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Boser)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lins)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Kay Hansen won by Submission (R3)
Hansen 69%31% Frey
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENTMarket: 63% (+5.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Frey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Frey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Frey)
FeatherweightHIT
Youssef Zalal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Zalal 74%26% Griffin
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENTMarket: 54% (+19.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +46(favors Zalal)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.6(favors Zalal)