UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker
Saturday, June 27, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Dustin Poirier won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Poirier 61%39% Hooker
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +146(favors Poirier)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Poirier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Poirier)
WelterweightHIT
Mike Perry won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Perry 80%20% Gall
STRONGMarket: 74% (+5.9% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +115(favors Perry)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Perry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Gall)
HeavyweightHIT
Maurice Greene won by Submission (R3)
Greene 79%21% Villante
STRONGMarket: 68% (+10.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -10(favors Villante)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Villante)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Villante)
MiddleweightHIT
Brendan Allen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Allen 54%46% Daukaus
TOSS-UPMarket: 73% (-18.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +355(favors Allen)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Allen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Allen)
WelterweightHIT
Takashi Sato won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sato 63%37% Witt
LEANMarket: 70% (-7.4% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +51(favors Sato)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Sato)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Sato)
Catch WeightMISS
Julian Erosa won by Submission (R3)
Erosa 14%86% Woodson
STRONGMarket: 18% (-4.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -339(favors Woodson)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Woodson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Erosa)
LightweightMISS
Khama Worthy won by Submission (R3)
Worthy 26%74% Pena
CONFIDENTMarket: 31% (-4.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -34(favors Pena)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Worthy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Pena)
HeavyweightHIT
Tanner Boser won by KO/TKO (R1)
Boser 61%39% Lins
LEANMarket: 48% (+12.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +88(favors Boser)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Boser)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lins)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Kay Hansen won by Submission (R3)
Hansen 60%40% Frey
LEANMarket: 63% (-3.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Frey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Frey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Frey)
FeatherweightHIT
Youssef Zalal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Zalal 69%31% Griffin
CONFIDENTMarket: 54% (+15.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +53(favors Zalal)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.6(favors Zalal)