UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Saturday, February 15, 2020·Rio Rancho, New Mexico, USA·13 fights
Model: 7/13(54%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jan Blachowicz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Blachowicz 30%70% Anderson
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (-3.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +7(favors Blachowicz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Blachowicz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.7(favors Anderson)
WelterweightMISS
Diego Sanchez won by DQ (R3)
Sanchez 48%52% Pereira
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UPMarket: 41% (+7.1% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -41(favors Pereira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Sanchez)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Montana De La Rosa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosa 71%29% Borella
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENTMarket: 62% (+9.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +386(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Borella)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Rosa)
LightweightMISS
Brok Weaver won by DQ (R1)
Weaver 47%53% Vargas
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -46(favors Vargas)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Vargas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vargas)
FlyweightHIT
Ray Borg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Borg 53%47% Bontorin
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-4.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +62(favors Borg)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Bontorin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Borg)
LightweightHIT
Lando Vannata won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vannata 66%34% Medeiros
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENTMarket: 52% (+14.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -292(favors Medeiros)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Vannata)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Vannata)
Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Daniel Rodriguez won by Submission (R2)
Rodriguez 22%78% Means
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONGMarket: 26% (-4.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -246(favors Means)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.6(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Means)
BantamweightMISS
John Dodson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Dodson 44%56% Wood
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEANMarket: 42% (+2.1% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -183(favors Wood)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Wood)
LightweightMISS
Scott Holtzman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Holtzman 46%54% Miller
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-10.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -33(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Holtzman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Miller)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Devin Clark won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Clark 88%12% Townsend
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+10.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +374(favors Clark)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Clark)
BantamweightHIT
Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dvalishvili 56%44% Kenney
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 61% (-5.0% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -261(favors Kenney)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Dvalishvili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.8(favors Dvalishvili)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Macy Chiasson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Chiasson 90%10% Young
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
STRONGMarket: 86% (+3.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +56(favors Chiasson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Chiasson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Young)
FlyweightHIT
Raulian Paiva won by KO/TKO (R2)
Paiva 59%41% Rosa
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -148(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Paiva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Rosa)