UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
Saturday, December 21, 2019·Busan, South Korea
Model Record: 8/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightHIT
Chan Sung Jung won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jung 50%50% Edgar
TOSS-UPMarket: 64% (-14.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -114(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Edgar)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Volkan Oezdemir won by Decision - Split (R3)
Oezdemir 43%57% Rakic
LEANMarket: 42% (+0.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +96(favors Oezdemir)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Rakic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Rakic)
FeatherweightMISS
Charles Jourdain won by KO/TKO (R2)
Jourdain 46%54% Choi
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -223(favors Choi)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Choi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Choi)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Da Woon Jung won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jung 45%55% Rodriguez
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +40(favors Jung)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Jung)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rodriguez)
MiddleweightHIT
JunYong Park won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Park 50%50% Barriault
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -36(favors Barriault)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Barriault)
BantamweightHIT
Kyung Ho Kang won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kang 71%29% Liu
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+2.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +270(favors Kang)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Kang)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Kang)
HeavyweightHIT
Ciryl Gane won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gane 85%15% Boser
STRONGMarket: 84% (+0.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +120(favors Gane)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Boser)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Gane)
FeatherweightHIT
SeungWoo Choi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Choi 51%49% Mokhtarian
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -53(favors Mokhtarian)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Mokhtarian)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Choi)
LightweightHIT
Omar Morales won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Morales 64%36% Ma
LEANMarket: 68% (-4.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +101(favors Morales)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Ma)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Ma)
FlyweightHIT
Alexandre Pantoja won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pantoja 76%24% Schnell
STRONGMarket: 69% (+6.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +30(favors Pantoja)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Pantoja)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Pantoja)
BantamweightMISS
Raoni Barcelos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barcelos 49%51% Nurmagomedov
TOSS-UPMarket: 48% (+0.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -1(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Barcelos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Barcelos)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Amanda Lemos won by Submission (R1)
Lemos 22%78% Granger
STRONGMarket: 36% (-13.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -219(favors Granger)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.6(favors Lemos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Lemos)
BantamweightHIT
Alatengheili won by Decision - Split (R3)
Alatengheili 55%45% Benoit
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -42(favors Benoit)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Benoit)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Alatengheili)