UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
Saturday, December 21, 2019·Busan, South Korea·13 fights
Model: 8/13(62%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Chan Sung Jung won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jung 58%42% Edgar
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEANMarket: 64% (-6.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -141(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Edgar)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Volkan Oezdemir won by Decision - Split (R3)
Oezdemir 41%59% Rakic
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 42% (-0.8% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +64(favors Oezdemir)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Rakic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Rakic)
FeatherweightMISS
Charles Jourdain won by KO/TKO (R2)
Jourdain 48%52% Choi
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -289(favors Choi)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Choi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Choi)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Da Woon Jung won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jung 51%49% Rodriguez
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +39(favors Jung)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Jung)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rodriguez)
MiddleweightHIT
JunYong Park won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Park 55%45% Barriault
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -76(favors Barriault)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Barriault)
BantamweightHIT
Kyung Ho Kang won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kang 66%34% Liu
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (-2.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +403(favors Kang)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Kang)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Kang)
Prelims
HeavyweightHIT
Ciryl Gane won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gane 84%16% Boser
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
STRONGMarket: 84% (-0.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +168(favors Gane)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Boser)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Gane)
FeatherweightHIT
SeungWoo Choi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Choi 65%35% Mokhtarian
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -74(favors Mokhtarian)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Mokhtarian)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Choi)
LightweightHIT
Omar Morales won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Morales 65%35% Ma
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (-2.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +47(favors Morales)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Ma)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Ma)
FlyweightHIT
Alexandre Pantoja won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pantoja 74%26% Schnell
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+5.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +33(favors Pantoja)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Pantoja)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Pantoja)
BantamweightMISS
Raoni Barcelos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barcelos 45%55% Nurmagomedov
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 48% (-3.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -89(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Barcelos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Barcelos)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Amanda Lemos won by Submission (R1)
Lemos 17%83% Granger
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 36% (-18.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -331(favors Granger)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.6(favors Lemos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Lemos)
BantamweightMISS
Alatengheili won by Decision - Split (R3)
Alatengheili 46%54% Benoit
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -44(favors Benoit)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Benoit)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Alatengheili)