UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
Saturday, November 9, 2019·Moscow, Moscow, Russia·13 fights
Model: 9/13(69%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Zabit Magomedsharipov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magomedsharipov 84%16% Kattar
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
STRONGMarket: 72% (+12.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -54(favors Kattar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Kattar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.6(favors Magomedsharipov)
HeavyweightHIT
Alexander Volkov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Volkov 79%21% Hardy
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+5.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +478(favors Volkov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Volkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Volkov)
WelterweightMISS
Danny Roberts won by KO/TKO (R2)
Roberts 37%63% Imadaev
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 32% (+5.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +51(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Imadaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Imadaev)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Ed Herman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Herman 26%74% Ibragimov
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENTMarket: 36% (-10.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +380(favors Herman)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Ibragimov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Ibragimov)
WelterweightHIT
Anthony Rocco Martin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Martin 58%42% Emeev
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +90(favors Martin)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Martin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Emeev)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Shamil Gamzatov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gamzatov 40%60% Abreu
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -95(favors Abreu)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Abreu)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Abreu)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightHIT
Magomed Ankalaev won by KO/TKO (R3)
Ankalaev 63%37% Lungiambula
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEANMarket: 75% (-12.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -41(favors Lungiambula)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Ankalaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.2(favors Lungiambula)
WelterweightHIT
Rustam Khabilov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Khabilov 76%24% Khandozhko
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 69% (+7.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +360(favors Khabilov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Khandozhko)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Khabilov)
MiddleweightHIT
Karl Roberson won by Submission (R3)
Roberson 61%39% Kopylov
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEANMarket: 47% (+13.4% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +158(favors Roberson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Roberson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Roberson)
WelterweightMISS
David Zawada won by Submission (R1)
Zawada 33%67% Nurmagomedov
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENTMarket: 28% (+4.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -124(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Zawada)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Zawada)
LightweightHIT
Roosevelt Roberts won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Roberts 63%37% Yakovlev
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 54% (+9.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -90(favors Yakovlev)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Yakovlev)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Pannie Kianzad won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kianzad 60%40% Clark
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 51% (+9.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -232(favors Clark)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Clark)
BantamweightHIT
Davey Grant won by Decision - Split (R3)
Grant 67%33% Popov
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENTMarket: 41% (+25.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -112(favors Popov)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Popov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Grant)