UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang
Saturday, August 31, 2019·Shenzhen, Guangdong, China·11 fights
Model: 5/11(45%)
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Main Card
Women's StrawweightHIT
Zhang Weili won by KO/TKO (R1)
Weili 51%49% Andrade
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -275(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Andrade)
WelterweightMISS
Li Jingliang won by KO/TKO (R3)
Jingliang 28%72% Santos
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (-0.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -413(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Jingliang)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Jingliang)
FlyweightHIT
Kai Kara-France won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kara-France 66%34% Rosa
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +123(favors Kara-France)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Kara-France)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Kara-France)
WelterweightHIT
Song Kenan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kenan 51%49% Krantz
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +64(favors Kenan)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Kenan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Krantz)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Mizuki won by Decision - Split (R3)
Mizuki 37%63% Yanan
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -137(favors Yanan)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Yanan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Yanan)
MiddleweightHIT
Anthony Hernandez won by Submission (R2)
Hernandez 56%44% Park
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -238(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Park)
Prelims
BantamweightMISS
Sumudaerji won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sumudaerji 46%54% Soukhamthath
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -198(favors Soukhamthath)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Soukhamthath)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Soukhamthath)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Da Woon Jung won by Submission (R3)
Jung 44%56% Ibragimov
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ibragimov)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ibragimov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ibragimov)
LightweightHIT
Damir Ismagulov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ismagulov 64%36% Moises
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEANMarket: 65% (-1.8% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +193(favors Ismagulov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Ismagulov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Ismagulov)
BantamweightMISS
Alatengheili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Alatengheili 49%51% Danaa
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Danaa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Danaa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Danaa)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Karol Rosa won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rosa 47%53% Procopio
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Procopio)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Procopio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Procopio)