UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Saturday, June 29, 2019·Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA·12 fights
Model: 9/12(75%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Francis Ngannou won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ngannou 66%34% Santos
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +132(favors Ngannou)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
FlyweightHIT
Joseph Benavidez won by KO/TKO (R2)
Benavidez 54%46% Formiga
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
TOSS-UPMarket: 54% (-0.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +26(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Benavidez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Benavidez)
WelterweightMISS
Demian Maia won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Maia 48%52% Martin
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +44(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Martin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Maia)
LightweightMISS
Vinc Pichel won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pichel 24%76% Roberts
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
STRONGMarket: 30% (-6.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +114(favors Pichel)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Pichel)
LightweightHIT
Drew Dober won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dober 90%10% Reyes
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONGMarket: 78% (+11.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +73(favors Dober)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Dober)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alonzo Menifield won by KO/TKO (R1)
Menifield 77%23% Craig
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
STRONGMarket: 73% (+3.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +132(favors Menifield)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.8(favors Menifield)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Craig)
Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Ricardo Ramos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ramos 89%11% Newson
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+12.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +82(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Ramos)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Eryk Anders won by KO/TKO (R1)
Anders 74%26% Moreira
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (+0.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +257(favors Anders)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Moreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Anders)
LightweightHIT
Jared Gordon won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gordon 79%21% Moret
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 75% (+3.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +119(favors Gordon)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Gordon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Gordon)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Dalcha Lungiambula won by KO/TKO (R3)
Lungiambula 87%13% Townsend
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONGMarket: 78% (+9.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Townsend)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Townsend)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Townsend)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Amanda Ribas won by Submission (R2)
Ribas 48%52% Whitmire
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+11.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -251(favors Whitmire)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Whitmire)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Whitmire)
HeavyweightHIT
Maurice Greene won by KO/TKO (R1)
Greene 56%44% Albini
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEANMarket: 51% (+5.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +410(favors Greene)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Greene)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Albini)