UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Saturday, May 11, 2019·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's StrawweightMISS
Jessica Andrade won by KO/TKO (R2)
Andrade 49%51% Namajunas
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-6.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -74(favors Namajunas)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Andrade)
MiddleweightHIT
Jared Cannonier won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cannonier 58%42% Silva
LEANMarket: 52% (+6.2% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -187(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Cannonier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Cannonier)
FeatherweightHIT
Alexander Volkanovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Volkanovski 68%32% Aldo
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -106(favors Aldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Volkanovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Volkanovski)
WelterweightHIT
Laureano Staropoli won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Staropoli 68%32% Alves
CONFIDENTMarket: 48% (+20.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -22(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Staropoli)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Alves)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Irene Aldana won by Submission (R3)
Aldana 89%11% Correia
STRONGMarket: 77% (+11.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +70(favors Aldana)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Aldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Correia)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ryan Spann won by KO/TKO (R1)
Spann 65%35% Nogueira
LEANMarket: 55% (+10.0% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -353(favors Nogueira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Spann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nogueira)
LightweightHIT
Thiago Moises won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moises 61%39% Holobaugh
LEANMarket: 53% (+8.1% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +147(favors Moises)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors Holobaugh)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Holobaugh)
WelterweightHIT
Warlley Alves won by KO/TKO (R3)
Alves 59%41% Moraes
LEANMarket: 56% (+3.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -151(favors Moraes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Moraes)
LightweightHIT
Clay Guida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Guida 78%22% Penn
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +154(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Guida)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Luana Carolina won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Carolina 66%34% Cachoeira
CONFIDENTMarket: 62% (+4.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +132(favors Carolina)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Cachoeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cachoeira)
BantamweightHIT
Raoni Barcelos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Barcelos 84%16% Huachin
STRONGMarket: 89% (-5.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +187(favors Barcelos)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Barcelos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Barcelos)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Viviane Araujo won by KO/TKO (R3)
Araujo 30%70% Bernardo
CONFIDENTMarket: 28% (+1.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +66(favors Araujo)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Bernardo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Bernardo)