UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Saturday, May 11, 2019·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil·12 fights
Model: 10/12(83%)
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Main Card
Women's StrawweightHIT
Jessica Andrade won by KO/TKO (R2)
Andrade 55%45% Namajunas
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
LEANMarket: 56% (-0.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -197(favors Namajunas)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Andrade)
MiddleweightMISS
Jared Cannonier won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cannonier 48%52% Silva
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (-3.9% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -302(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Cannonier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Cannonier)
FeatherweightHIT
Alexander Volkanovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Volkanovski 68%32% Aldo
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Aldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Volkanovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Volkanovski)
WelterweightHIT
Laureano Staropoli won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Staropoli 75%25% Alves
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 48% (+27.6% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -134(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Staropoli)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Alves)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Irene Aldana won by Submission (R3)
Aldana 87%13% Correia
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+9.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +62(favors Aldana)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Aldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Correia)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ryan Spann won by KO/TKO (R1)
Spann 62%38% Nogueira
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEANMarket: 55% (+7.7% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -401(favors Nogueira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Spann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nogueira)
LightweightHIT
Thiago Moises won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moises 63%37% Holobaugh
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 53% (+10.5% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +227(favors Moises)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors Holobaugh)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Holobaugh)
WelterweightHIT
Warlley Alves won by KO/TKO (R3)
Alves 59%41% Moraes
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 56% (+3.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -168(favors Moraes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Moraes)
LightweightHIT
Clay Guida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Guida 75%25% Penn
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +56(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Guida)
Early Prelims
Women's FlyweightHIT
Luana Carolina won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Carolina 70%30% Cachoeira
Over/UnderOver 67%
Under 33%Over 67%
CONFIDENTMarket: 62% (+8.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +176(favors Carolina)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Cachoeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cachoeira)
BantamweightHIT
Raoni Barcelos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Barcelos 86%14% Huachin
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONGMarket: 89% (-2.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +253(favors Barcelos)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Barcelos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Barcelos)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Viviane Araujo won by KO/TKO (R3)
Araujo 32%68% Bernardo
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENTMarket: 28% (+3.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +91(favors Araujo)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Bernardo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Bernardo)