UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
Saturday, April 13, 2019·Atlanta, Georgia, USA
Model Record: 8/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightMISS
Dustin Poirier won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Poirier 37%63% Holloway
LEANMarket: 32% (+5.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -297(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Poirier)
MiddleweightHIT
Israel Adesanya won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Adesanya 75%25% Gastelum
STRONGMarket: 62% (+12.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -138(favors Gastelum)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Adesanya)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gastelum)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Khalil Rountree Jr. won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jr. 43%57% Anders
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -64(favors Anders)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Jr.)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Anders)
WelterweightHIT
Dwight Grant won by Decision - Split (R3)
Grant 65%35% Jouban
LEANMarket: 53% (+11.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Jouban)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Jouban)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Grant)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Nikita Krylov won by Submission (R2)
Krylov 62%38% Preux
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -93(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Krylov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Krylov)
LightweightHIT
Matt Frevola won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Frevola 57%43% Turner
LEANMarket: 40% (+17.1% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -187(favors Turner)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Turner)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Frevola)
FlyweightHIT
Alexandre Pantoja won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pantoja 73%27% Reis
CONFIDENTMarket: 60% (+12.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +111(favors Pantoja)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Pantoja)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.1(favors Reis)
WelterweightMISS
Max Griffin won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Griffin 49%51% Imadaev
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+2.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +9(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Griffin)
BantamweightHIT
Khalid Taha won by KO/TKO (R1)
Taha 51%49% Salmon
TOSS-UPMarket: 41% (+9.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -85(favors Salmon)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Taha)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Salmon)
WelterweightHIT
Belal Muhammad won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Muhammad 60%40% Millender
LEANMarket: 58% (+1.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -88(favors Millender)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Muhammad)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Muhammad)
BantamweightHIT
Montel Jackson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jackson 91%9% Soukhamthath
STRONGMarket: 83% (+8.4% edge)
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +43(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Soukhamthath)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Jackson)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Poliana Botelho won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Botelho 46%54% Mueller
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-14.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +114(favors Botelho)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Botelho)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Mueller)
BantamweightMISS
Brandon Davis won by Submission (R2)
Davis 44%56% Costa
LEANMarket: 62% (-17.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -69(favors Costa)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Davis)