UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Saturday, May 31, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 4/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Mateusz Gamrot won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gamrot 61%39% Klein
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +261(favors Gamrot)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Klein)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Gamrot)
WelterweightMISS
Ramiz Brahimaj won by Submission (R1)
Brahimaj 42%58% Goff
LEAN
→Elo gap: +48(favors Brahimaj)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.5(favors Goff)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Brahimaj)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Dustin Jacoby won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jacoby 46%54% Lopes
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +172(favors Jacoby)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Jacoby)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.7(favors Lopes)
Women's FeatherweightMISS
Ketlen Vieira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vieira 46%54% Chiasson
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -143(favors Chiasson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Chiasson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Chiasson)
MiddleweightHIT
Zach Reese won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Reese 67%33% Todorovic
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Reese)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Reese)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Reese)
FlyweightMISS
Allan Nascimento won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nascimento 48%52% Filho
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +14(favors Nascimento)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Filho)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Nascimento)
LightweightHIT
Jordan Leavitt won by Submission (R1)
Leavitt 75%25% Holobaugh
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +97(favors Leavitt)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Holobaugh)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Leavitt)
LightweightHIT
Bolaji Oki won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Oki 58%42% Jr.
LEAN
→Elo gap: -46(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.7(favors Oki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Oki)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Alice Ardelean won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ardelean 41%59% Santos
LEAN
→Elo gap: -61(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Ardelean)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Ardelean)