UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
Saturday, May 31, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·9 fights
Model: 6/9(67%)
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Main Card
LightweightMISS
Mateusz Gamrot won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gamrot 43%57% Klein
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 59% (-15.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +354(favors Gamrot)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Klein)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Gamrot)
WelterweightMISS
Ramiz Brahimaj won by Submission (R1)
Brahimaj 22%78% Goff
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONGMarket: 23% (-1.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +88(favors Brahimaj)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.5(favors Goff)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Brahimaj)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Dustin Jacoby won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jacoby 61%39% Lopes
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEANMarket: 63% (-2.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +197(favors Jacoby)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Jacoby)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.7(favors Lopes)
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Ketlen Vieira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vieira 53%47% Chiasson
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+9.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -85(favors Chiasson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Chiasson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Chiasson)
MiddleweightHIT
Zach Reese won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Reese 67%33% Todorovic
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+1.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +65(favors Reese)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Reese)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Reese)
FlyweightHIT
Allan Nascimento won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nascimento 53%47% Filho
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (+1.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +23(favors Nascimento)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Filho)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Nascimento)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Jordan Leavitt won by Submission (R1)
Leavitt 77%23% Holobaugh
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONG
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +136(favors Leavitt)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Holobaugh)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Leavitt)
LightweightHIT
Bolaji Oki won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Oki 57%43% Jr.
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -58(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.7(favors Oki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Oki)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Alice Ardelean won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ardelean 43%57% Santos
Over/UnderOver 66%
Under 34%Over 66%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -127(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Ardelean)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Ardelean)