The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Friday, November 30, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Kamaru Usman won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Usman 76%24% Anjos
STRONG
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +40(favors Usman)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Usman)
HeavyweightMISS
Juan Espino won by Submission (R1)
Espino 39%61% Frazier
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Frazier)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Frazier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Frazier)
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Macy Chiasson won by Submission (R2)
Chiasson 56%44% Kianzad
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kianzad)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kianzad)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kianzad)
BantamweightHIT
Pedro Munhoz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Munhoz 62%38% Caraway
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +100(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Caraway)
MiddleweightHIT
Edmen Shahbazyan won by Decision - Split (R3)
Shahbazyan 53%47% Stewart
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -142(favors Stewart)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Stewart)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Stewart)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Antonina Shevchenko won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Shevchenko 41%59% Kim
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -59(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Kim)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kim)
FeatherweightMISS
Kevin Aguilar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Aguilar 45%55% Glenn
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -143(favors Glenn)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Glenn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Glenn)
FlyweightMISS
Joseph Benavidez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Benavidez 40%60% Perez
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +131(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Perez)
HeavyweightHIT
Maurice Greene won by Submission (R1)
Greene 53%47% Batista
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Batista)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Batista)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Batista)
Women's FeatherweightMISS
Leah Letson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Letson 50%50% Stoliarenko
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Stoliarenko)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Stoliarenko)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stoliarenko)
LightweightHIT
Roosevelt Roberts won by Submission (R1)
Roberts 69%31% Horcher
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +43(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Horcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Horcher)
WelterweightHIT
Tim Means won by KO/TKO (R1)
Means 62%38% Rainey
LEAN
→Elo gap: +314(favors Means)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Means)
BantamweightHIT
Raoni Barcelos won by Submission (R2)
Barcelos 66%34% Gutierrez
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +110(favors Barcelos)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.1(favors Barcelos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Barcelos)