UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
Saturday, September 15, 2018·Moscow, Moscow, Russia·12 fights
Model: 11/12(92%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Aleksei Oleinik won by Submission (R1)
Oleinik 60%40% Hunt
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEANMarket: 49% (+11.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -238(favors Hunt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Oleinik)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Oleinik)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jan Blachowicz won by Submission (R2)
Blachowicz 44%56% Krylov
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
LEANMarket: 42% (+2.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +64(favors Blachowicz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Krylov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Blachowicz)
HeavyweightHIT
Shamil Abdurakhimov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Abdurakhimov 64%36% Arlovski
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEANMarket: 54% (+9.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -122(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Abdurakhimov)
WelterweightHIT
Aleksei Kunchenko won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kunchenko 54%46% Alves
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -247(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Alves)
MiddleweightHIT
Khalid Murtazaliev won by KO/TKO (R2)
Murtazaliev 53%47% Dollaway
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -242(favors Dollaway)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Dollaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Dollaway)
BantamweightHIT
Petr Yan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yan 91%9% Son
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
STRONGMarket: 89% (+2.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +191(favors Yan)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.2(favors Yan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Son)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Rustam Khabilov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Khabilov 88%12% Johnson
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 86% (+2.1% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +242(favors Khabilov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Khabilov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Khabilov)
LightweightHIT
Mairbek Taisumov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Taisumov 82%18% Green
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
STRONGMarket: 83% (-0.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +216(favors Taisumov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Taisumov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Taisumov)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Magomed Ankalaev won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ankalaev 79%21% Prachnio
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
STRONGMarket: 82% (-3.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -191(favors Prachnio)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Ankalaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Prachnio)
MiddleweightHIT
Jordan Johnson won by Submission (R2)
Johnson 76%24% Yandiev
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
STRONGMarket: 71% (+5.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +342(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Johnson)
WelterweightHIT
Ramazan Emeev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Emeev 87%13% Sekulic
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 85% (+2.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +431(favors Emeev)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Emeev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Emeev)
BantamweightHIT
Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dvalishvili 90%10% Ware
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
STRONGMarket: 82% (+8.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +23(favors Dvalishvili)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Ware)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.8(favors Dvalishvili)