UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
Saturday, September 15, 2018·Moscow, Moscow, Russia
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Aleksei Oleinik won by Submission (R1)
Oleinik 66%34% Hunt
CONFIDENTMarket: 49% (+17.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -224(favors Hunt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Oleinik)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Oleinik)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jan Blachowicz won by Submission (R2)
Blachowicz 48%52% Krylov
TOSS-UPMarket: 42% (+6.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +60(favors Blachowicz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Krylov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Blachowicz)
HeavyweightHIT
Shamil Abdurakhimov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Abdurakhimov 60%40% Arlovski
LEANMarket: 54% (+5.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Abdurakhimov)
WelterweightMISS
Aleksei Kunchenko won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kunchenko 46%54% Alves
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -104(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Alves)
MiddleweightHIT
Khalid Murtazaliev won by KO/TKO (R2)
Murtazaliev 50%50% Dollaway
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -142(favors Dollaway)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Dollaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Dollaway)
BantamweightHIT
Petr Yan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yan 91%9% Son
STRONGMarket: 89% (+1.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +117(favors Yan)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.2(favors Yan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Son)
LightweightHIT
Rustam Khabilov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Khabilov 86%14% Johnson
STRONGMarket: 86% (+0.1% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +259(favors Khabilov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Khabilov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Khabilov)
LightweightHIT
Mairbek Taisumov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Taisumov 83%17% Green
STRONGMarket: 83% (+0.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +268(favors Taisumov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Taisumov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Taisumov)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Magomed Ankalaev won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ankalaev 87%13% Prachnio
STRONGMarket: 82% (+5.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -87(favors Prachnio)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Ankalaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Prachnio)
MiddleweightHIT
Jordan Johnson won by Submission (R2)
Johnson 75%25% Yandiev
STRONGMarket: 71% (+4.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +237(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Johnson)
WelterweightHIT
Ramazan Emeev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Emeev 86%14% Sekulic
STRONGMarket: 85% (+1.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +270(favors Emeev)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Emeev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Emeev)
BantamweightHIT
Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dvalishvili 88%12% Ware
STRONGMarket: 82% (+6.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +21(favors Dvalishvili)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Ware)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.8(favors Dvalishvili)