UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Saturday, September 8, 2018·Dallas, Texas, USA·13 fights
Model: 9/13(69%)
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Main Card
WelterweightMISS
Tyron Woodley won by Submission (R2)
Woodley 38%62% Till
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEANMarket: 48% (-10.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +305(favors Woodley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Till)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Till)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Jessica Andrade won by KO/TKO (R1)
Andrade 88%12% Kowalkiewicz
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
STRONGMarket: 80% (+8.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +91(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Andrade)
FeatherweightHIT
Zabit Magomedsharipov won by Submission (R2)
Magomedsharipov 75%25% Davis
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 91% (-15.8% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +358(favors Magomedsharipov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Magomedsharipov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.2(favors Magomedsharipov)
BantamweightHIT
Jimmie Rivera won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rivera 57%43% Dodson
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 58% (-1.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -5(favors Dodson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Rivera)
WelterweightMISS
Abdul Razak Alhassan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alhassan 41%59% Price
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 51% (-9.5% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -197(favors Price)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Alhassan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Price)
Prelims
Women's StrawweightHIT
Tatiana Suarez won by KO/TKO (R3)
Suarez 90%10% Esparza
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONGMarket: 78% (+11.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +188(favors Suarez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Suarez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Suarez)
BantamweightHIT
Aljamain Sterling won by Submission (R2)
Sterling 64%36% Stamann
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 61% (+2.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -36(favors Stamann)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Stamann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Stamann)
WelterweightHIT
Geoff Neal won by KO/TKO (R2)
Neal 63%37% Camacho
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 65% (-2.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +158(favors Neal)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Camacho)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Camacho)
MiddleweightHIT
Darren Stewart won by KO/TKO (R2)
Stewart 63%37% Byrd
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
LEANMarket: 38% (+24.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -147(favors Byrd)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Stewart)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Byrd)
Early Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Diego Sanchez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sanchez 51%49% White
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UPMarket: 34% (+16.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +193(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Sanchez)
LightweightMISS
Jim Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 45%55% White
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 39% (+5.3% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +167(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors White)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Miller)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Irene Aldana won by Decision - Split (R3)
Aldana 44%56% Pudilova
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
LEANMarket: 51% (-7.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -269(favors Pudilova)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Aldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Aldana)
FlyweightHIT
Jarred Brooks won by Decision - Split (R3)
Brooks 60%40% Sanchez
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -166(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Brooks)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.9(favors Sanchez)