UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
Saturday, March 17, 2018·London, England, United Kingdom·10 fights
Model: 5/10(50%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Alexander Volkov won by KO/TKO (R4)
Volkov 57%43% Werdum
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 35% (+21.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -178(favors Werdum)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Volkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Volkov)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jan Blachowicz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Blachowicz 39%61% Manuwa
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEANMarket: 27% (+11.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -179(favors Manuwa)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Blachowicz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Blachowicz)
BantamweightHIT
Tom Duquesnoy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Duquesnoy 80%20% Ware
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 76% (+3.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +318(favors Duquesnoy)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Ware)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Duquesnoy)
WelterweightHIT
Leon Edwards won by KO/TKO (R3)
Edwards 68%32% Sobotta
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+2.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +241(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Sobotta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Sobotta)
MiddleweightMISS
Charles Byrd won by Submission (R1)
Byrd 42%58% Phillips
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEANMarket: 48% (-7.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Phillips)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Phillips)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Phillips)
WelterweightHIT
Danny Roberts won by KO/TKO (R1)
Roberts 57%43% Enkamp
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 60% (-3.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +114(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Enkamp)
Prelims
FeatherweightMISS
Danny Henry won by Submission (R1)
Henry 36%64% Dawodu
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 28% (+7.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +128(favors Henry)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.2(favors Henry)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Henry)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Paul Craig won by Submission (R3)
Craig 29%71% Ankalaev
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
CONFIDENTMarket: 16% (+12.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -199(favors Ankalaev)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Craig)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Craig)
LightweightHIT
Kajan Johnson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Johnson 52%48% Ray
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+14.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +177(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Ray)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Johnson)
HeavyweightMISS
Dmitry Sosnovskiy won by Submission (R2)
Sosnovskiy 48%52% Godbeer
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -58(favors Godbeer)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Godbeer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Godbeer)