UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
Saturday, March 17, 2018·London, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 4/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightMISS
Alexander Volkov won by KO/TKO (R4)
Volkov 49%51% Werdum
TOSS-UPMarket: 35% (+14.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -262(favors Werdum)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Volkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Volkov)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jan Blachowicz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Blachowicz 25%75% Manuwa
STRONGMarket: 27% (-2.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -106(favors Manuwa)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Blachowicz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Blachowicz)
BantamweightHIT
Tom Duquesnoy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Duquesnoy 83%17% Ware
STRONGMarket: 76% (+7.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +214(favors Duquesnoy)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Ware)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Duquesnoy)
WelterweightHIT
Leon Edwards won by KO/TKO (R3)
Edwards 74%26% Sobotta
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+9.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +182(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Sobotta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Sobotta)
MiddleweightMISS
Charles Byrd won by Submission (R1)
Byrd 43%57% Phillips
LEANMarket: 48% (-5.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Phillips)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Phillips)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Phillips)
WelterweightHIT
Danny Roberts won by KO/TKO (R1)
Roberts 53%47% Enkamp
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-6.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +77(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Enkamp)
FeatherweightMISS
Danny Henry won by Submission (R1)
Henry 34%66% Dawodu
CONFIDENTMarket: 28% (+6.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +85(favors Henry)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.2(favors Henry)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Henry)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Paul Craig won by Submission (R3)
Craig 27%73% Ankalaev
CONFIDENTMarket: 16% (+10.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -128(favors Ankalaev)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Craig)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Craig)
LightweightHIT
Kajan Johnson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Johnson 52%48% Ray
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+14.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +91(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Ray)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Johnson)
HeavyweightMISS
Dmitry Sosnovskiy won by Submission (R2)
Sosnovskiy 48%52% Godbeer
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -21(favors Godbeer)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Godbeer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Godbeer)