UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Saturday, February 24, 2018·Orlando, Florida, USA·12 fights
Model: 5/12(42%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightMISS
Jeremy Stephens won by KO/TKO (R2)
Stephens 45%55% Emmett
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-10.5% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +0(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Emmett)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Jessica Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 65%35% Pennington
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
LEANMarket: 70% (-5.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +14(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Andrade)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Ilir Latifi won by Submission (R1)
Latifi 45%55% Preux
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -60(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Preux)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Latifi)
WelterweightMISS
Max Griffin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Griffin 37%63% Perry
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 22% (+15.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -373(favors Perry)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Perry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Perry)
BantamweightMISS
Brian Kelleher won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kelleher 34%66% Barao
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
CONFIDENTMarket: 39% (-4.3% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -14(favors Barao)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Kelleher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Barao)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Marion Reneau won by Submission (R2)
Reneau 45%55% McMann
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
TOSS-UPMarket: 36% (+8.7% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +50(favors Reneau)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Reneau)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors McMann)
Prelims
Women's StrawweightMISS
Angela Hill won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hill 35%65% Moroz
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 57% (-21.8% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -292(favors Moroz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Moroz)
WelterweightHIT
Alan Jouban won by KO/TKO (R2)
Jouban 76%24% Saunders
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
STRONGMarket: 70% (+6.4% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +53(favors Jouban)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Jouban)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Jouban)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Sam Alvey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alvey 38%62% Prachnio
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
LEANMarket: 32% (+6.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +289(favors Alvey)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Alvey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Prachnio)
BantamweightHIT
Rani Yahya won by Submission (R3)
Yahya 75%25% Doane
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+6.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +221(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Yahya)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Yahya)
FlyweightHIT
Alex Perez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Perez 63%37% Shelton
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 48% (+15.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +116(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Perez)
BantamweightHIT
Manny Bermudez won by Submission (R2)
Bermudez 69%31% Morales
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENTMarket: 61% (+8.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +111(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Morales)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Morales)