UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
Sunday, May 28, 2017·Stockholm, Sweden
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alexander Gustafsson won by KO/TKO (R5)
Gustafsson 74%26% Teixeira
CONFIDENTMarket: 73% (+1.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -134(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Gustafsson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Teixeira)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Volkan Oezdemir won by KO/TKO (R1)
Oezdemir 18%82% Cirkunov
STRONGMarket: 20% (-2.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -311(favors Cirkunov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Oezdemir)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.0(favors Cirkunov)
WelterweightHIT
Peter Sobotta won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sobotta 59%41% Saunders
LEANMarket: 50% (+8.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -185(favors Saunders)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Saunders)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Sobotta)
WelterweightMISS
Omari Akhmedov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Akhmedov 25%75% Alhassan
STRONGMarket: 31% (-6.5% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -100(favors Alhassan)
→Striking volume advantage: -10.7(favors Alhassan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Akhmedov)
WelterweightHIT
Nordine Taleb won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Taleb 83%17% Enkamp
STRONGMarket: 77% (+6.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +201(favors Taleb)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Taleb)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Taleb)
MiddleweightHIT
Jack Hermansson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hermansson 62%38% Nicholson
LEANMarket: 60% (+2.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -33(favors Nicholson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Hermansson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Hermansson)
BantamweightHIT
Pedro Munhoz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Munhoz 83%17% Stasiak
STRONGMarket: 87% (-3.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +112(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Stasiak)
MiddleweightHIT
Trevor Smith won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Smith 55%45% Camozzi
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+15.7% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -26(favors Camozzi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Smith)
LightweightHIT
Joaquim Silva won by Decision - Split (R3)
Silva 50%50% Madadi
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-10.1% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +102(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Madadi)
WelterweightHIT
Bojan Velickovic won by KO/TKO (R3)
Velickovic 60%40% Musoke
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Musoke)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Musoke)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Musoke)
WelterweightHIT
Darren Till won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Till 60%40% Ayari
LEANMarket: 75% (-14.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +7(favors Till)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Ayari)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ayari)
LightweightMISS
Damir Hadzovic won by KO/TKO (R3)
Hadzovic 26%74% Held
CONFIDENTMarket: 26% (-0.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +46(favors Hadzovic)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Hadzovic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Held)