UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie
Saturday, February 4, 2017·Houston, Texas, USA
Model Record: 5/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightMISS
Chan Sung Jung won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jung 42%58% Bermudez
LEANMarket: 37% (+5.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -20(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Bermudez)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Felice Herrig won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Herrig 22%78% Grasso
STRONGMarket: 26% (-4.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +21(favors Herrig)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Grasso)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Herrig)
LightweightHIT
James Vick won by Submission (R3)
Vick 60%40% Trujillo
LEANMarket: 52% (+8.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -64(favors Trujillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Vick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Trujillo)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Volkan Oezdemir won by Decision - Split (R3)
Oezdemir 40%60% Preux
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -200(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Preux)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Preux)
HeavyweightMISS
Marcel Fortuna won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fortuna 41%59% Hamilton
LEANMarket: 35% (+5.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -4(favors Hamilton)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Hamilton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Hamilton)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Jessica Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 89%11% Hill
STRONGMarket: 82% (+6.9% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +395(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Andrade)
Heavyweight
Milstead 20%80% Blaydes
STRONGMarket: 26% (-6.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -779(favors Blaydes)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Milstead)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.2(favors Blaydes)
FeatherweightHIT
Chas Skelly won by Submission (R2)
Skelly 55%45% Gruetzemacher
LEANMarket: 73% (-18.1% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +211(favors Skelly)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.0(favors Gruetzemacher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Skelly)
BantamweightMISS
Ricardo Ramos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ramos 49%51% Tanaka
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+6.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -18(favors Tanaka)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Tanaka)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Tanaka)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Tecia Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pennington 82%18% Rawlings
STRONGMarket: 78% (+4.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +164(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Rawlings)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Pennington)
Welterweight
Morono 34%66% Price
CONFIDENTMarket: 49% (-15.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +52(favors Morono)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Morono)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Price)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Khalil Rountree Jr. won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jr. 70%30% Jolly
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -41(favors Jolly)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Jolly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jolly)