The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Saturday, December 3, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FlyweightHIT
Demetrious Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Johnson 92%8% Elliott
STRONGMarket: 89% (+2.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +765(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Elliott)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Elliott)
FlyweightMISS
Joseph Benavidez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Benavidez 43%57% Cejudo
LEANMarket: 64% (-20.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +201(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Benavidez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Cejudo)
WelterweightHIT
Jorge Masvidal won by KO/TKO (R1)
Masvidal 65%35% Ellenberger
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (-0.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -39(favors Ellenberger)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Masvidal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Masvidal)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jared Cannonier won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cannonier 28%72% Cutelaba
CONFIDENTMarket: 34% (-6.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +29(favors Cannonier)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Cannonier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cutelaba)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Sara McMann won by Submission (R2)
McMann 69%31% Davis
CONFIDENTMarket: 63% (+6.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -183(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors McMann)
FlyweightMISS
Brandon Moreno won by Decision - Split (R3)
Moreno 43%57% Benoit
LEANMarket: 52% (-8.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +112(favors Moreno)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Moreno)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.8(favors Moreno)
FeatherweightHIT
Ryan Hall won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hall 62%38% Maynard
LEANMarket: 47% (+14.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +59(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Maynard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Maynard)
BantamweightHIT
Rob Font won by KO/TKO (R1)
Font 62%38% Schnell
LEANMarket: 68% (-6.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +178(favors Font)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Font)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Font)
LightweightHIT
Dong Hyun Ma won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ma 54%46% O'Reilly
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (+2.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -115(favors O'Reilly)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Ma)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors O'Reilly)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Jamie Moyle won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moyle 45%55% Curran
LEANMarket: 42% (+3.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +155(favors Moyle)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Curran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Curran)
MiddleweightHIT
Anthony Smith won by KO/TKO (R2)
Smith 60%40% Mutapcic
LEANMarket: 52% (+8.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -7(favors Mutapcic)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Mutapcic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Smith)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Devin Clark won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Clark 30%70% Stansbury
CONFIDENTMarket: 48% (-18.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -238(favors Stansbury)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Stansbury)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Clark)