UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Saturday, August 6, 2016·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
Model Record: 11/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightHIT
Yair Rodriguez won by Decision - Split (R5)
Rodriguez 62%38% Caceres
LEANMarket: 71% (-9.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +207(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Rodriguez)
FeatherweightHIT
Dennis Bermudez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bermudez 78%22% Jason
STRONGMarket: 69% (+9.0% edge)
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +92(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Bermudez)
MiddleweightHIT
Thales Leites won by Submission (R3)
Leites 56%44% Camozzi
LEANMarket: 61% (-5.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +89(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Camozzi)
WelterweightMISS
Santiago Ponzinibbio won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ponzinibbio 49%51% Cummings
TOSS-UPMarket: 53% (-3.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +4(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Cummings)
MiddleweightHIT
Trevor Smith won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Smith 61%39% Gigliotti
LEANMarket: 46% (+14.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +88(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Smith)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Maryna Moroz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Moroz 81%19% Taylor
STRONGMarket: 71% (+10.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +119(favors Moroz)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Moroz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Moroz)
WelterweightHIT
Court McGee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McGee 65%35% Steele
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (-0.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +6(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Steele)
HeavyweightHIT
Marcin Tybura won by KO/TKO (R2)
Tybura 57%43% Pesta
LEANMarket: 56% (+0.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +38(favors Tybura)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Tybura)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Pesta)
LightweightHIT
David Teymur won by KO/TKO (R2)
Teymur 87%13% Novelli
STRONGMarket: 59% (+28.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +128(favors Teymur)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Teymur)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Teymur)
FeatherweightHIT
Teruto Ishihara won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ishihara 70%30% Gutierrez
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +228(favors Ishihara)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Ishihara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gutierrez)
FeatherweightHIT
Cub Swanson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Swanson 75%25% Kawajiri
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (+1.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +264(favors Swanson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Swanson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Kawajiri)
HeavyweightHIT
Justin Ledet won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ledet 51%49% Sherman
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-3.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Sherman)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Sherman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sherman)