UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Saturday, August 6, 2016·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA·12 fights
Model: 11/12(92%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Yair Rodriguez won by Decision - Split (R5)
Rodriguez 64%36% Caceres
Over/UnderOver 70%
Under 30%Over 70%
LEANMarket: 71% (-7.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +348(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Rodriguez)
FeatherweightHIT
Dennis Bermudez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bermudez 81%19% Jason
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 69% (+12.3% edge)
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +160(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Bermudez)
MiddleweightHIT
Thales Leites won by Submission (R3)
Leites 63%37% Camozzi
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEANMarket: 61% (+1.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +267(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Camozzi)
WelterweightMISS
Santiago Ponzinibbio won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ponzinibbio 49%51% Cummings
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UPMarket: 53% (-4.0% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -49(favors Cummings)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Cummings)
MiddleweightHIT
Trevor Smith won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Smith 65%35% Gigliotti
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEANMarket: 46% (+18.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +166(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Smith)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Maryna Moroz won by Decision - Split (R3)
Moroz 74%26% Taylor
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+3.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +170(favors Moroz)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Moroz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Moroz)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Court McGee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McGee 80%20% Steele
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
STRONGMarket: 66% (+14.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +8(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Steele)
HeavyweightHIT
Marcin Tybura won by KO/TKO (R2)
Tybura 57%43% Pesta
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEANMarket: 56% (+1.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +48(favors Tybura)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Tybura)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Pesta)
LightweightHIT
David Teymur won by KO/TKO (R2)
Teymur 84%16% Novelli
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
STRONGMarket: 59% (+25.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +191(favors Teymur)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Teymur)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Teymur)
FeatherweightHIT
Teruto Ishihara won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ishihara 79%21% Gutierrez
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONGMarket: 67% (+11.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +358(favors Ishihara)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Ishihara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gutierrez)
FeatherweightHIT
Cub Swanson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Swanson 81%19% Kawajiri
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+7.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +245(favors Swanson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Swanson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Kawajiri)
HeavyweightHIT
Justin Ledet won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ledet 54%46% Sherman
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-0.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Sherman)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Sherman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sherman)