UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Sunday, April 10, 2016·Zagreb, Croatia
Model Record: 11/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Junior Dos Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Santos 54%46% Rothwell
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -131(favors Rothwell)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Rothwell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Santos)
HeavyweightHIT
Derrick Lewis won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lewis 54%46% Gonzaga
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-3.8% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +189(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Lewis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Gonzaga)
HeavyweightHIT
Francis Ngannou won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ngannou 60%40% Blaydes
LEANMarket: 41% (+18.8% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Ngannou)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Ngannou)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Blaydes)
HeavyweightMISS
Timothy Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 47%53% Tybura
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+3.9% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +52(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Johnson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jan Blachowicz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Blachowicz 77%23% Pokrajac
STRONGMarket: 75% (+1.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +208(favors Blachowicz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Blachowicz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Blachowicz)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Maryna Moroz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moroz 60%40% Stanciu
LEANMarket: 63% (-2.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +45(favors Moroz)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Moroz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stanciu)
WelterweightMISS
Zak Cummings won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cummings 42%58% Dalby
LEANMarket: 48% (-6.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Cummings)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Dalby)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Dalby)
BantamweightHIT
Alejandro Perez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perez 77%23% Entwistle
STRONGMarket: 42% (+35.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -9(favors Entwistle)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Perez)
LightweightHIT
Mairbek Taisumov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Taisumov 77%23% Hadzovic
STRONGMarket: 76% (+1.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +343(favors Taisumov)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Taisumov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Taisumov)
BantamweightHIT
Damian Stasiak won by Submission (R1)
Stasiak 53%47% Pejic
TOSS-UPMarket: 53% (-0.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -108(favors Pejic)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Stasiak)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Stasiak)
FeatherweightHIT
Lucas Martins won by Decision - Split (R3)
Martins 57%43% Whiteford
LEANMarket: 53% (+4.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +0(favors Martins)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Martins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Whiteford)
HeavyweightHIT
Jared Cannonier won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cannonier 53%47% Asker
TOSS-UPMarket: 59% (-6.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -103(favors Asker)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Cannonier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Asker)
MiddleweightHIT
Bojan Velickovic won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Velickovic 60%40% Chirico
LEANMarket: 64% (-4.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Chirico)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Chirico)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Chirico)