UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
Saturday, February 6, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·12 fights
Model: 7/12(58%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✗✗✓✓✓✗✓✓✗✗✓✓
Main Card
WelterweightMISS
Stephen Thompson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Thompson 47%53% Hendricks
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UPMarket: 30% (+17.0% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -233(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Thompson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Hendricks)
HeavyweightMISS
Roy Nelson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nelson 47%53% Rosholt
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
TOSS-UPMarket: 59% (-12.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -121(favors Rosholt)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Nelson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Rosholt)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ovince Saint Preux won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Preux 75%25% Cavalcante
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +449(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Cavalcante)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Preux)
FlyweightHIT
Joseph Benavidez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Benavidez 87%13% Makovsky
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 79% (+7.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +364(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Benavidez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Makovsky)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Misha Cirkunov won by Submission (R2)
Cirkunov 89%11% Nicholson
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
STRONGMarket: 88% (+1.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +191(favors Cirkunov)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.0(favors Cirkunov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +9.5(favors Cirkunov)
WelterweightMISS
Mike Pyle won by KO/TKO (R3)
Pyle 40%60% Spencer
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEANMarket: 44% (-4.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +178(favors Pyle)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Spencer)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Pyle)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Joshua Burkman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Burkman 52%48% Noons
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -128(favors Noons)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Noons)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Burkman)
HeavyweightHIT
Derrick Lewis won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lewis 67%33% Grabowski
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
CONFIDENTMarket: 48% (+18.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +163(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Lewis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Lewis)
FlyweightMISS
Justin Scoggins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Scoggins 44%56% Borg
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 32% (+12.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -347(favors Borg)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Scoggins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Borg)
FeatherweightMISS
Diego Rivas won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rivas 23%77% Lahat
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 25% (-1.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +88(favors Rivas)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Lahat)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Lahat)
WelterweightHIT
Mickey Gall won by Submission (R1)
Gall 89%11% Jackson
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 81% (+7.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jackson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jackson)
FeatherweightHIT
Alex White won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
White 55%45% Lobov
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 45% (+10.5% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -53(favors Lobov)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors White)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors White)