UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Saturday, February 22, 2025·Seattle, Washington, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
BantamweightHIT
Song Yadong won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yadong 56%44% Cejudo
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -197(favors Cejudo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Cejudo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Cejudo)
MiddleweightHIT
Anthony Hernandez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hernandez 60%40% Allen
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +25(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Hernandez)
Catch WeightMISS
Rob Font won by Decision - Split (R3)
Font 46%54% Matsumoto
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +315(favors Font)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Font)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Matsumoto)
FeatherweightHIT
Jean Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 57%43% Baghdasaryan
LEAN
→Elo gap: +292(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Silva)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alonzo Menifield won by Decision - Split (R3)
Menifield 50%50% Walker
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +176(favors Menifield)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Menifield)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Menifield)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Ion Cutelaba won by Submission (R1)
Cutelaba 45%55% Aslan
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -62(favors Aslan)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.1(favors Aslan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Cutelaba)
FeatherweightHIT
Melquizael Costa won by Submission (R1)
Costa 60%40% Fili
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -94(favors Fili)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Costa)
MiddleweightHIT
Mansur Abdul-Malik won by KO/TKO (R2)
Abdul-Malik 72%28% Klein
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +86(favors Abdul-Malik)
→Striking volume advantage: +10.6(favors Abdul-Malik)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Klein)
BantamweightMISS
Ricky Simon won by KO/TKO (R1)
Simon 34%66% Basharat
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -17(favors Basharat)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Basharat)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Simon)
Catch WeightMISS
Austin Vanderford won by KO/TKO (R2)
Vanderford 44%56% Veretennikov
LEAN
→Elo gap: +45(favors Vanderford)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Veretennikov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Veretennikov)
MiddleweightHIT
Nursulton Ruziboev won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ruziboev 52%48% McConico
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +234(favors Ruziboev)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Ruziboev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Ruziboev)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Modestas Bukauskas won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bukauskas 62%38% Cerqueira
LEAN
→Elo gap: +184(favors Bukauskas)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Bukauskas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Bukauskas)