UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Saturday, November 7, 2015·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Model Record: 10/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Vitor Belfort won by KO/TKO (R1)
Belfort 82%18% Henderson
STRONGMarket: 73% (+8.2% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +305(favors Belfort)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Belfort)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Henderson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Glover Teixeira won by KO/TKO (R2)
Teixeira 85%15% Cummins
STRONGMarket: 80% (+5.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +294(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Cummins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.5(favors Cummins)
BantamweightHIT
Thomas Almeida won by KO/TKO (R1)
Almeida 85%15% Birchak
STRONGMarket: 79% (+6.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +216(favors Almeida)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Birchak)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.6(favors Birchak)
LightweightHIT
Alex Oliveira won by KO/TKO (R3)
Oliveira 67%33% Hallmann
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (-0.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +243(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Hallmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Oliveira)
LightweightHIT
Rashid Magomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magomedov 51%49% Burns
TOSS-UPMarket: 65% (-13.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +106(favors Magomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Magomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Burns)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Corey Anderson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anderson 86%14% Maldonado
STRONGMarket: 83% (+2.7% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Maldonado)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Anderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Anderson)
LightweightMISS
Abel Trujillo won by DQ (R1)
Trujillo 46%54% Tibau
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+0.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +12(favors Trujillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Trujillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Tibau)
LightweightHIT
Johnny Case won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Case 77%23% Cabral
STRONGMarket: 72% (+5.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +194(favors Case)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Case)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Case)
FeatherweightHIT
Thiago Tavares won by Submission (R1)
Tavares 65%35% Guida
CONFIDENTMarket: 41% (+24.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -167(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Tavares)
FeatherweightMISS
Chas Skelly won by Submission (R2)
Skelly 46%54% Souza
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -99(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Souza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Skelly)
WelterweightMISS
Viscardi Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 47%53% Umalatov
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+1.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +61(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Umalatov)
BantamweightHIT
Jimmie Rivera won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rivera 59%41% Munhoz
LEANMarket: 39% (+19.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -26(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.9(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Munhoz)
BantamweightHIT
Matheus Nicolau won by Submission (R3)
Nicolau 59%41% Korea
LEANMarket: 64% (-4.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Korea)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Korea)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Korea)