UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Saturday, September 5, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FlyweightHIT
Demetrious Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Johnson 92%8% Dodson
STRONGMarket: 83% (+9.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +207(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Johnson)
HeavyweightHIT
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arlovski 64%36% Mir
LEANMarket: 59% (+5.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +272(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Mir)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Anthony Johnson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Johnson 84%16% Manuwa
STRONGMarket: 84% (+0.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +189(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Manuwa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Johnson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Corey Anderson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anderson 59%41% Blachowicz
LEANMarket: 43% (+16.0% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -124(favors Blachowicz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Anderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors Anderson)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Paige VanZant won by Submission (R3)
VanZant 88%12% Chambers
STRONGMarket: 91% (-3.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +214(favors VanZant)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors VanZant)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors VanZant)
LightweightMISS
Ross Pearson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pearson 27%73% Felder
CONFIDENTMarket: 20% (+6.2% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -94(favors Felder)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Felder)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Felder)
BantamweightHIT
John Lineker won by Submission (R1)
Lineker 66%34% Rivera
CONFIDENTMarket: 55% (+10.8% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +60(favors Lineker)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Lineker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Rivera)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Raquel Pennington won by Submission (R2)
Pennington 29%71% Andrade
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (-4.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -90(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Andrade)
FeatherweightMISS
Tiago dos Santos e Silva won by Decision - Split (R3)
Silva 45%55% Collard
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -54(favors Collard)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Collard)
MiddleweightMISS
Joe Riggs won by DQ (R2)
Riggs 42%58% Stallings
LEANMarket: 39% (+3.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -173(favors Stallings)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Stallings)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Riggs)
LightweightHIT
Joaquim Silva won by Decision - Split (R3)
Silva 52%48% Malegarie
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+9.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Malegarie)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Malegarie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Malegarie)