UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites
Saturday, July 18, 2015·Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Michael Bisping won by Decision - Split (R5)
Bisping 51%49% Leites
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (+0.7% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -174(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Leites)
LightweightMISS
Evan Dunham won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dunham 39%61% Pearson
LEANMarket: 32% (+6.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -81(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Dunham)
LightweightHIT
Joe Duffy won by Submission (R1)
Duffy 52%48% Jorge
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +28(favors Duffy)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Duffy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Jorge)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Joanne Wood won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wood 70%30% Casey
CONFIDENTMarket: 76% (-5.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -52(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.3(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Wood)
WelterweightHIT
Leon Edwards won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Edwards 85%15% Pawlak
STRONGMarket: 76% (+8.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +104(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Pawlak)
LightweightHIT
Stevie Ray won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ray 69%31% Mafra
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+3.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +137(favors Ray)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Ray)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Mafra)
FlyweightHIT
Paddy Holohan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Holohan 68%32% Lee
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +106(favors Holohan)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Holohan)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ilir Latifi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Latifi 69%31% Stringer
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+0.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +18(favors Latifi)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Stringer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Stringer)
LightweightMISS
Mickael Lebout won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lebout 50%50% Packalen
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+3.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -46(favors Packalen)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Lebout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Packalen)
FeatherweightHIT
Robert Whiteford won by KO/TKO (R1)
Whiteford 58%42% Redmond
LEANMarket: 58% (+0.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +70(favors Whiteford)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Whiteford)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Whiteford)
BantamweightHIT
Jimmie Rivera won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rivera 62%38% Brimage
LEANMarket: 53% (+9.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +103(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Brimage)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Brimage)
HeavyweightHIT
Daniel Omielanczuk won by KO/TKO (R1)
Omielanczuk 64%36% Rocha
LEANMarket: 59% (+5.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -72(favors Rocha)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Omielanczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Omielanczuk)