UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites
Saturday, July 18, 2015·Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom·12 fights
Model: 11/12(92%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightHIT
Michael Bisping won by Decision - Split (R5)
Bisping 53%47% Leites
Over/UnderOver 68%
Under 32%Over 68%
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (+2.0% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -127(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Leites)
LightweightMISS
Evan Dunham won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dunham 41%59% Pearson
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEANMarket: 32% (+9.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -64(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Dunham)
LightweightHIT
Joe Duffy won by Submission (R1)
Duffy 53%47% Jorge
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +31(favors Duffy)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Duffy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Jorge)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Joanne Wood won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wood 80%20% Casey
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
STRONGMarket: 76% (+4.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -96(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.3(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Wood)
WelterweightHIT
Leon Edwards won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Edwards 78%22% Pawlak
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
STRONGMarket: 76% (+1.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +210(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Pawlak)
LightweightHIT
Stevie Ray won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ray 72%28% Mafra
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+6.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +152(favors Ray)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Ray)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Mafra)
Prelims
FlyweightHIT
Paddy Holohan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Holohan 64%36% Lee
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEANMarket: 56% (+7.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +75(favors Holohan)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Holohan)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ilir Latifi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Latifi 60%40% Stringer
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEANMarket: 68% (-7.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +4(favors Latifi)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Stringer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Stringer)
LightweightHIT
Mickael Lebout won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lebout 53%47% Packalen
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+7.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -43(favors Packalen)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Lebout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Packalen)
FeatherweightHIT
Robert Whiteford won by KO/TKO (R1)
Whiteford 62%38% Redmond
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 58% (+4.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +86(favors Whiteford)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Whiteford)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Whiteford)
BantamweightHIT
Jimmie Rivera won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rivera 63%37% Brimage
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 53% (+10.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +131(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Brimage)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Brimage)
HeavyweightHIT
Daniel Omielanczuk won by KO/TKO (R1)
Omielanczuk 63%37% Rocha
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEANMarket: 59% (+4.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -110(favors Rocha)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Omielanczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Omielanczuk)