UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
Saturday, March 14, 2015·Dallas, Texas, USA·12 fights
Model: 7/12(58%)
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Main Card
LightweightMISS
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Anjos 31%69% Pettis
Over/UnderOver 70%
Under 30%Over 70%
CONFIDENTMarket: 19% (+11.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -197(favors Pettis)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Pettis)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won by KO/TKO (R2)
Jedrzejczyk 48%52% Esparza
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UPMarket: 40% (+8.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +64(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Esparza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.6(favors Esparza)
WelterweightHIT
Johny Hendricks won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hendricks 85%15% Brown
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+8.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +265(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Hendricks)
HeavyweightHIT
Alistair Overeem won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Overeem 80%20% Nelson
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
STRONGMarket: 65% (+15.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +67(favors Overeem)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Overeem)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Overeem)
FlyweightHIT
Henry Cejudo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cejudo 86%14% Cariaso
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONGMarket: 83% (+2.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -54(favors Cariaso)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Cejudo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Cariaso)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Ross Pearson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pearson 87%13% Stout
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+10.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +199(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Stout)
MiddleweightHIT
Elias Theodorou won by KO/TKO (R2)
Theodorou 81%19% Narvaez
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
STRONGMarket: 75% (+5.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +274(favors Theodorou)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Theodorou)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Theodorou)
LightweightMISS
Beneil Dariush won by Submission (R2)
Dariush 49%51% Cruickshank
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UPMarket: 42% (+7.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +67(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Cruickshank)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Cruickshank)
HeavyweightHIT
Jared Rosholt won by KO/TKO (R3)
Rosholt 89%11% Copeland
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
STRONGMarket: 73% (+16.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +202(favors Rosholt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Rosholt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Rosholt)
Early Prelims
FlyweightMISS
Ryan Benoit won by KO/TKO (R2)
Benoit 37%63% Pettis
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 19% (+18.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -317(favors Pettis)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Pettis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Pettis)
LightweightHIT
Joe Duffy won by KO/TKO (R1)
Duffy 51%49% Lindsey
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +316(favors Duffy)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Lindsey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Lindsey)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Germaine de Randamie won by KO/TKO (R2)
Randamie 48%52% Pacheco
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UPMarket: 42% (+6.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +43(favors Randamie)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Randamie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pacheco)