UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
Saturday, November 15, 2014·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico
Model Record: 6/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Fabricio Werdum won by KO/TKO (R2)
Werdum 90%10% Hunt
STRONGMarket: 78% (+11.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +83(favors Werdum)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Werdum)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Werdum)
WelterweightHIT
Kelvin Gastelum won by Submission (R1)
Gastelum 71%29% Ellenberger
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+4.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +109(favors Gastelum)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Gastelum)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Gastelum)
FeatherweightMISS
Ricardo Lamas won by Submission (R1)
Lamas 44%56% Bermudez
LEANMarket: 37% (+6.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -109(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Bermudez)
WelterweightHIT
Augusto Montano won by KO/TKO (R1)
Montano 64%36% Heatherly
LEANMarket: 67% (-2.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +65(favors Montano)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Heatherly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.5(favors Heatherly)
WelterweightHIT
Hector Urbina won by Submission (R1)
Urbina 52%48% Garcia
TOSS-UPMarket: 36% (+16.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +168(favors Urbina)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Garcia)
FeatherweightMISS
Yair Rodriguez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rodriguez 48%52% Morales
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Morales)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Morales)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Morales)
BantamweightMISS
Alejandro Perez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Perez 26%74% Quinonez
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (-6.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Quinonez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Quinonez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Quinonez)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Jessica Eye won by KO/TKO (R2)
Eye 75%25% Smith
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+6.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -109(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Smith)
FeatherweightHIT
Gabriel Benitez won by Submission (R3)
Benitez 86%14% Morrison
STRONGMarket: 76% (+10.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Morrison)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Morrison)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Morrison)
BantamweightMISS
Henry Briones won by Submission (R2)
Briones 44%56% Cannetti
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cannetti)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cannetti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cannetti)
BantamweightMISS
Marco Beltran won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Beltran 19%81% Vera
STRONGMarket: 29% (-10.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vera)