UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
Saturday, November 15, 2014·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico·11 fights
Model: 8/11(73%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Fabricio Werdum won by KO/TKO (R2)
Werdum 93%7% Hunt
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
STRONGMarket: 78% (+14.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +84(favors Werdum)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Werdum)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Werdum)
WelterweightHIT
Kelvin Gastelum won by Submission (R1)
Gastelum 73%27% Ellenberger
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+6.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +162(favors Gastelum)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Gastelum)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Gastelum)
FeatherweightMISS
Ricardo Lamas won by Submission (R1)
Lamas 40%60% Bermudez
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEANMarket: 37% (+2.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: -10(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Bermudez)
WelterweightHIT
Augusto Montano won by KO/TKO (R1)
Montano 59%41% Heatherly
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEANMarket: 67% (-7.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +73(favors Montano)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Heatherly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.5(favors Heatherly)
WelterweightHIT
Hector Urbina won by Submission (R1)
Urbina 59%41% Garcia
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEANMarket: 36% (+23.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +260(favors Urbina)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Garcia)
Prelims
FeatherweightHIT
Yair Rodriguez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rodriguez 69%31% Morales
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+1.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Morales)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Morales)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Morales)
BantamweightMISS
Alejandro Perez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Perez 27%73% Quinonez
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (-5.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Quinonez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Quinonez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Quinonez)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Jessica Eye won by KO/TKO (R2)
Eye 81%19% Smith
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
STRONGMarket: 69% (+12.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -161(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Smith)
FeatherweightHIT
Gabriel Benitez won by Submission (R3)
Benitez 87%13% Morrison
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONGMarket: 76% (+11.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Morrison)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Morrison)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Morrison)
Early Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Henry Briones won by Submission (R2)
Briones 55%45% Cannetti
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 56% (-1.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cannetti)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cannetti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cannetti)
BantamweightMISS
Marco Beltran won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Beltran 22%78% Vera
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
STRONGMarket: 29% (-7.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vera)