UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Saturday, October 25, 2014·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil·11 fights
Model: 9/11(82%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Jose Aldo won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Aldo 54%46% Mendes
Over/UnderOver 66%
Under 34%Over 66%
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +193(favors Aldo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Mendes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.1(favors Mendes)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Phil Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 65%35% Teixeira
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -178(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Teixeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Teixeira)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Fabio Maldonado won by KO/TKO (R2)
Maldonado 61%39% Stringer
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -14(favors Stringer)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Maldonado)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Stringer)
FeatherweightHIT
Darren Elkins won by Decision - Split (R3)
Elkins 57%43% Martins
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -86(favors Martins)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Martins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Elkins)
LightweightMISS
Beneil Dariush won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dariush 33%67% Ferreira
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -291(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Ferreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Dariush)
Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Neil Magny won by KO/TKO (R3)
Magny 50%50% Macario
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +361(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Macario)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Macario)
LightweightHIT
Yan Cabral won by Submission (R2)
Cabral 83%17% Kotani
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +370(favors Cabral)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Cabral)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Cabral)
FlyweightHIT
Wilson Reis won by Submission (R1)
Reis 58%42% Jorgensen
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +276(favors Reis)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Reis)
FeatherweightHIT
Andre Fili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fili 50%50% Arantes
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -219(favors Arantes)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Fili)
Early Prelims
LightweightHIT
Gilbert Burns won by Submission (R1)
Burns 65%35% Giagos
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Burns)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Burns)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Burns)
LightweightHIT
Anthony Rocco Martin won by Submission (R1)
Martin 58%42% Camoes
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -321(favors Camoes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Martin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Camoes)