UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos
Saturday, August 23, 2014·Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightMISS
Rafael Dos Anjos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Anjos 43%57% Henderson
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -155(favors Henderson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Henderson)
WelterweightHIT
Jordan Mein won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mein 60%40% Pyle
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -199(favors Pyle)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Mein)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Mein)
MiddleweightHIT
Thales Leites won by KO/TKO (R2)
Leites 63%37% Carmont
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +183(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Carmont)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Leites)
Catch WeightHIT
Max Holloway won by KO/TKO (R3)
Holloway 63%37% Collard
LEAN
→Elo gap: +237(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.1(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Collard)
LightweightHIT
James Vick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vick 55%45% Lazaro
LEAN
→Elo gap: +139(favors Vick)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Lazaro)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lazaro)
FeatherweightHIT
Chas Skelly won by Submission (R1)
Skelly 62%38% Niinimaki
LEAN
→Elo gap: -40(favors Niinimaki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Skelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.7(favors Niinimaki)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 51%49% Garcia
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.2(favors Garcia)
LightweightMISS
Beneil Dariush won by Submission (R2)
Dariush 35%65% Martin
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +25(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Dariush)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Martin)
BantamweightMISS
Matt Hobar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hobar 42%58% Phillips
LEAN
→Elo gap: -28(favors Phillips)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Hobar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Phillips)
WelterweightHIT
Ben Saunders won by Submission (R1)
Saunders 62%38% Heatherly
LEAN
→Elo gap: +152(favors Saunders)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Saunders)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Heatherly)
FlyweightMISS
Wilson Reis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Reis 42%58% Sanchez
LEAN
→Elo gap: +32(favors Reis)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Reis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Reis)