UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos
Saturday, August 23, 2014·Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA·11 fights
Model: 6/11(55%)
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Main Card
LightweightMISS
Rafael Dos Anjos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Anjos 39%61% Henderson
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -261(favors Henderson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Henderson)
WelterweightHIT
Jordan Mein won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mein 65%35% Pyle
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -235(favors Pyle)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Mein)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Mein)
MiddleweightHIT
Thales Leites won by KO/TKO (R2)
Leites 64%36% Carmont
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +160(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Carmont)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Leites)
Catch WeightHIT
Max Holloway won by KO/TKO (R3)
Holloway 69%31% Collard
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +291(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.1(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Collard)
LightweightMISS
James Vick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vick 47%53% Lazaro
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +255(favors Vick)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Lazaro)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lazaro)
FeatherweightHIT
Chas Skelly won by Submission (R1)
Skelly 57%43% Niinimaki
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -42(favors Niinimaki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Skelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.7(favors Niinimaki)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 58%42% Garcia
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -58(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.2(favors Garcia)
LightweightMISS
Beneil Dariush won by Submission (R2)
Dariush 45%55% Martin
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +70(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Dariush)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Martin)
BantamweightMISS
Matt Hobar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hobar 36%64% Phillips
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -42(favors Phillips)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Hobar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Phillips)
WelterweightHIT
Ben Saunders won by Submission (R1)
Saunders 60%40% Heatherly
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +219(favors Saunders)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Saunders)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Heatherly)
FlyweightMISS
Wilson Reis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Reis 45%55% Sanchez
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +67(favors Reis)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Reis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Reis)