UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
Saturday, July 26, 2014·San Jose, California, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightMISS
Robbie Lawler won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Lawler 42%58% Brown
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -106(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Brown)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Anthony Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 71%29% Nogueira
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Nogueira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Nogueira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Johnson)
FeatherweightHIT
Dennis Bermudez won by Submission (R2)
Bermudez 69%31% Guida
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Bermudez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Bermudez)
LightweightHIT
King Green won by Decision - Split (R3)
Green 72%28% Thomson
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Thomson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Thomson)
LightweightHIT
Jorge Masvidal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Masvidal 67%33% Cruickshank
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -41(favors Cruickshank)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Cruickshank)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Masvidal)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Patrick Cummins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cummins 73%27% Kingsbury
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +230(favors Cummins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Cummins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Cummins)
WelterweightHIT
Tim Means won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Means 69%31% Perpetuo
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -15(favors Perpetuo)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Means)
Featherweight
Torre 31%69% Ortega
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -554(favors Ortega)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Torre)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Torre)
LightweightHIT
Tiago dos Santos e Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 55%45% Arreola
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Arreola)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Arreola)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Arreola)
WelterweightMISS
Gilbert Burns won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Burns 46%54% Stahl
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Stahl)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Stahl)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stahl)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jedrzejczyk 53%47% Lima
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lima)
FeatherweightMISS
Noad Lahat won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lahat 30%70% Siler
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -227(favors Siler)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Lahat)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Siler)