UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Saturday, July 5, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Weidman won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Weidman 71%29% Machida
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +277(favors Weidman)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Weidman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Weidman)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Ronda Rousey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rousey 50%50% Davis
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Rousey)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Rousey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.2(favors Rousey)
MiddleweightHIT
Uriah Hall won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hall 60%40% Santos
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -54(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Hall)
BantamweightHIT
Russell Doane won by Decision - Split (R3)
Doane 75%25% Brimage
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +90(favors Doane)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Brimage)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Brimage)
BantamweightHIT
Urijah Faber won by Submission (R3)
Faber 58%42% Caceres
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Faber)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Faber)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Faber)
WelterweightHIT
Kenny Robertson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Robertson 55%45% Alcantara
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -13(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Robertson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Alcantara)
MiddleweightHIT
Bruno Santos won by Decision - Split (R3)
Santos 56%44% Camozzi
LEAN
→Elo gap: -70(favors Camozzi)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Santos)
BantamweightMISS
Rob Font won by KO/TKO (R1)
Font 48%52% Roop
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -91(favors Roop)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Roop)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Roop)
MiddleweightHIT
Luke Zachrich won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Zachrich 52%48% Vasconcelos
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -77(favors Vasconcelos)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Zachrich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vasconcelos)
Middleweight
Casey 49%51% Bush
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +53(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Casey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bush)