UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Saturday, July 5, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 7/9(78%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Weidman won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Weidman 72%28% Machida
Over/UnderOver 68%
Under 32%Over 68%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +323(favors Weidman)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Weidman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Weidman)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Ronda Rousey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rousey 59%41% Davis
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +100(favors Rousey)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Rousey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.2(favors Rousey)
MiddleweightHIT
Uriah Hall won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hall 50%50% Santos
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Hall)
BantamweightHIT
Russell Doane won by Decision - Split (R3)
Doane 62%38% Brimage
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +183(favors Doane)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Brimage)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Brimage)
BantamweightMISS
Urijah Faber won by Submission (R3)
Faber 49%51% Caceres
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +216(favors Faber)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Faber)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Faber)
Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Kenny Robertson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Robertson 45%55% Alcantara
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Robertson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Alcantara)
MiddleweightHIT
Bruno Santos won by Decision - Split (R3)
Santos 54%46% Camozzi
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -111(favors Camozzi)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Santos)
BantamweightHIT
Rob Font won by KO/TKO (R1)
Font 52%48% Roop
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -111(favors Roop)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Roop)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Roop)
MiddleweightHIT
Luke Zachrich won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Zachrich 52%48% Vasconcelos
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -74(favors Vasconcelos)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Zachrich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vasconcelos)
Early Prelims
Middleweight
Casey 48%52% Bush
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +155(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Casey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bush)