UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
Saturday, June 7, 2014·Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA·11 fights
Model: 7/11(64%)
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Main Card
LightweightMISS
Benson Henderson won by Submission (R4)
Henderson 48%52% Khabilov
Over/UnderOver 67%
Under 33%Over 67%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +302(favors Henderson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Henderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Khabilov)
LightweightMISS
Diego Sanchez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Sanchez 45%55% Pearson
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +16(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Pearson)
FlyweightHIT
John Dodson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dodson 59%41% Moraga
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -42(favors Moraga)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Dodson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Moraga)
LightweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Anjos 71%29% High
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +291(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Anjos)
LightweightHIT
Piotr Hallmann won by Submission (R3)
Hallmann 68%32% Edwards
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Hallmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Hallmann)
BantamweightMISS
Bryan Caraway won by Submission (R2)
Caraway 47%53% Perez
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +156(favors Caraway)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Perez)
Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Sergio Pettis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pettis 72%28% Meza
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -86(favors Meza)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Pettis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Pettis)
WelterweightHIT
Lance Benoist won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Benoist 76%24% Voelker
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +330(favors Benoist)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Voelker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Voelker)
FlyweightMISS
Scott Jorgensen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jorgensen 39%61% Martinez
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -98(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.4(favors Martinez)
LightweightHIT
Jon Tuck won by KO/TKO (R3)
Tuck 50%50% Lindsey
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -1(favors Lindsey)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Tuck)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lindsey)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Patrick Cummins won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cummins 51%49% Narvaez
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -31(favors Narvaez)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.1(favors Cummins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Narvaez)