UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson
Friday, April 11, 2014·Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates·8 fights
Model: 5/7(71%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightMISS
Roy Nelson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nelson 39%61% Nogueira
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -49(favors Nogueira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Nogueira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Nogueira)
FeatherweightHIT
Clay Guida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Guida 62%38% Kawajiri
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +170(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Kawajiri)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.8(favors Kawajiri)
WelterweightHIT
Ryan LaFlare won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
LaFlare 71%29% Howard
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +194(favors LaFlare)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors LaFlare)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors LaFlare)
LightweightHIT
Ramsey Nijem won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nijem 83%17% Dariush
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONG
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -53(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Dariush)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.9(favors Nijem)
HeavyweightHIT
Jared Rosholt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosholt 75%25% Omielanczuk
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -64(favors Omielanczuk)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Omielanczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Omielanczuk)
MiddleweightHIT
Thales Leites won by KO/TKO (R1)
Leites 70%30% Smith
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +388(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Leites)
Prelims
FeatherweightMISS
Jim Alers won by Decision - Split (R3)
Alers 42%58% Omer
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Omer)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Omer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Omer)
Bantamweight
Yahya 61%39% Bedford
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +364(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Bedford)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Yahya)