UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson
Friday, April 11, 2014·Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Model Record: 5/7Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightMISS
Roy Nelson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nelson 36%64% Nogueira
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -25(favors Nogueira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Nogueira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Nogueira)
FeatherweightHIT
Clay Guida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Guida 69%31% Kawajiri
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Kawajiri)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.8(favors Kawajiri)
WelterweightHIT
Ryan LaFlare won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
LaFlare 66%34% Howard
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +135(favors LaFlare)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors LaFlare)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors LaFlare)
LightweightHIT
Ramsey Nijem won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nijem 81%19% Dariush
STRONG
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -54(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Dariush)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.9(favors Nijem)
HeavyweightHIT
Jared Rosholt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosholt 66%34% Omielanczuk
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Omielanczuk)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Omielanczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Omielanczuk)
MiddleweightHIT
Thales Leites won by KO/TKO (R1)
Leites 70%30% Smith
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +341(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Leites)
FeatherweightMISS
Jim Alers won by Decision - Split (R3)
Alers 42%58% Omer
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Omer)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Omer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Omer)
Bantamweight
Yahya 55%45% Bedford
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +188(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Bedford)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Yahya)