UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
Saturday, November 23, 2024·Macau, China·13 fights
Model: 7/13(54%)
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Main Card
BantamweightHIT
Petr Yan won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Yan 73%27% Figueiredo
Over/UnderOver 67%
Under 33%Over 67%
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+1.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Yan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Figueiredo)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Yan Xiaonan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Xiaonan 47%53% Ricci
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +116(favors Xiaonan)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Ricci)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Ricci)
WelterweightHIT
Muslim Salikhov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Salikhov 57%43% Kenan
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +247(favors Salikhov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Kenan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Salikhov)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Gabriella Fernandes won by Submission (R2)
Fernandes 15%85% Cong
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 13% (+1.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -205(favors Cong)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.0(favors Cong)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Fernandes)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Carlos Ulberg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ulberg 73%27% Oezdemir
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+2.2% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +41(favors Ulberg)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Ulberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Oezdemir)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Zhang Mingyang won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mingyang 78%22% Diaz
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
STRONGMarket: 68% (+9.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +191(favors Mingyang)
→Striking volume advantage: +10.1(favors Mingyang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Diaz)
Prelims
BantamweightMISS
SuYoung You won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
You 48%52% Jieleyisi
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Jieleyisi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jieleyisi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jieleyisi)
FlyweightHIT
DongHun Choi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Choi 53%47% Sahota
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Sahota)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Sahota)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sahota)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Shi Ming won by KO/TKO (R3)
Ming 20%80% Xiaocan
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONGMarket: 20% (+0.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Xiaocan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Xiaocan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Xiaocan)
FlyweightMISS
Carlos Hernandez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Hernandez 46%54% Tumendemberel
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UPMarket: 54% (-7.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -120(favors Tumendemberel)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Hernandez)
FlyweightHIT
Lone'er Kavanagh won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kavanagh 73%27% Ochoa
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-0.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ochoa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ochoa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ochoa)
BantamweightHIT
Xiao Long won by KO/TKO (R3)
Long 65%35% Le
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENTMarket: 57% (+8.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -85(favors Le)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Long)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Le)
LightweightMISS
Nikolas Motta won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Motta 45%55% Maheshate
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +221(favors Motta)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Maheshate)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Maheshate)