UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
Saturday, March 1, 2014·Macau, China·8 fights
Model: 5/8(63%)
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Main Card
WelterweightHIT
Dong Hyun Kim won by KO/TKO (R3)
Kim 62%38% Hathaway
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Hathaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Kim)
WelterweightMISS
Zhang Lipeng won by Decision - Split (R3)
Lipeng 49%51% Wang
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Wang)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Wang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Wang)
HeavyweightHIT
Matt Mitrione won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mitrione 54%46% Jordan
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -171(favors Jordan)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Jordan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Jordan)
FeatherweightHIT
Hatsu Hioki won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hioki 73%27% Menjivar
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +10(favors Hioki)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Menjivar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Hioki)
LightweightMISS
Yui Chul Nam won by Decision - Split (R3)
Nam 30%70% Tokudome
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +2(favors Nam)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Tokudome)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Tokudome)
BantamweightHIT
Vaughan Lee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lee 77%23% Phan
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +34(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Phan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Lee)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Anying Wang won by KO/TKO (R1)
Wang 54%46% Cheng
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cheng)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cheng)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cheng)
FeatherweightMISS
Mark Eddiva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Eddiva 46%54% Tuerxun
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Tuerxun)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Tuerxun)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tuerxun)