UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Saturday, February 22, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 7/11(64%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✗✓✓✗
Main Card
Women's BantamweightHIT
Ronda Rousey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rousey 65%35% McMann
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +12(favors Rousey)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Rousey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors McMann)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Daniel Cormier won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cormier 76%24% Cummins
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +420(favors Cormier)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.4(favors Cormier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Cormier)
WelterweightHIT
Rory MacDonald won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
MacDonald 67%33% Maia
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +35(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Maia)
WelterweightMISS
Mike Pyle won by KO/TKO (R3)
Pyle 45%55% Waldburger
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +214(favors Pyle)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Pyle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Waldburger)
WelterweightHIT
Stephen Thompson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Thompson 58%42% Whittaker
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +136(favors Thompson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Thompson)
Prelims
Women's BantamweightMISS
Alexis Davis won by Decision - Split (R3)
Davis 46%54% Eye
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +249(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Eye)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Davis)
BantamweightHIT
Raphael Assuncao won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Assuncao 71%29% Munhoz
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +528(favors Assuncao)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Assuncao)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Assuncao)
BantamweightMISS
Aljamain Sterling won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sterling 48%52% Gibson
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gibson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gibson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gibson)
FlyweightHIT
Zach Makovsky won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Makovsky 66%34% Sampo
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -73(favors Sampo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Sampo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Makovsky)
Early Prelims
LightweightHIT
Erik Koch won by KO/TKO (R1)
Koch 66%34% Oliveira
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +155(favors Koch)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Oliveira)
LightweightMISS
Ernest Chavez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Chavez 45%55% Cedeno
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cedeno)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cedeno)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cedeno)