UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Saturday, February 22, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's BantamweightHIT
Ronda Rousey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rousey 55%45% McMann
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +28(favors Rousey)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Rousey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors McMann)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Daniel Cormier won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cormier 71%29% Cummins
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +281(favors Cormier)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.4(favors Cormier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Cormier)
WelterweightHIT
Rory MacDonald won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
MacDonald 63%37% Maia
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +16(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Maia)
WelterweightMISS
Mike Pyle won by KO/TKO (R3)
Pyle 45%55% Waldburger
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +252(favors Pyle)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Pyle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Waldburger)
WelterweightHIT
Stephen Thompson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Thompson 54%46% Whittaker
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +100(favors Thompson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Thompson)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Alexis Davis won by Decision - Split (R3)
Davis 58%42% Eye
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +163(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Eye)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Davis)
BantamweightHIT
Raphael Assuncao won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Assuncao 66%34% Munhoz
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +382(favors Assuncao)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Assuncao)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Assuncao)
BantamweightHIT
Aljamain Sterling won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sterling 50%50% Gibson
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gibson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gibson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gibson)
FlyweightHIT
Zach Makovsky won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Makovsky 64%36% Sampo
LEAN
→Elo gap: -35(favors Sampo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Sampo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Makovsky)
LightweightHIT
Erik Koch won by KO/TKO (R1)
Koch 65%35% Oliveira
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +131(favors Koch)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Oliveira)
LightweightMISS
Ernest Chavez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Chavez 44%56% Cedeno
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cedeno)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cedeno)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cedeno)