UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
Saturday, February 1, 2014·Newark, New Jersey, USA
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
BantamweightHIT
Renan Barao won by KO/TKO (R1)
Barao 66%34% Faber
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +31(favors Barao)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Barao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Faber)
FeatherweightHIT
Jose Aldo won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Aldo 68%32% Lamas
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +224(favors Aldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Aldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Lamas)
HeavyweightHIT
Alistair Overeem won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Overeem 57%43% Mir
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -188(favors Mir)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Overeem)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Mir)
FlyweightHIT
Ali Bagautinov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bagautinov 61%39% Lineker
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -36(favors Lineker)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Lineker)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Bagautinov)
LightweightMISS
Abel Trujillo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Trujillo 41%59% Varner
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -28(favors Varner)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Trujillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Varner)
LightweightHIT
Alan Patrick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Patrick 60%40% Makdessi
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -128(favors Makdessi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Makdessi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Patrick)
FlyweightHIT
Chris Cariaso won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cariaso 53%47% Martinez
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +20(favors Cariaso)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Cariaso)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Cariaso)
MiddleweightHIT
Nick Catone won by Decision - Split (R3)
Catone 55%45% Watson
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -175(favors Watson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Watson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Catone)
LightweightHIT
Al Iaquinta won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Iaquinta 67%33% Lee
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +114(favors Iaquinta)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.3(favors Iaquinta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Iaquinta)
MiddleweightHIT
Clint Hester won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hester 53%47% Enz
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +277(favors Hester)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Hester)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Hester)
LightweightMISS
Rashid Magomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magomedov 31%69% Martin
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Martin)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Martin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Martin)
WelterweightHIT
Neil Magny won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magny 76%24% Umalatov
STRONG
→Elo gap: -102(favors Umalatov)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Magny)