UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Wednesday, January 15, 2014·Duluth, Georgia, USA·12 fights
Model: 8/12(67%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightHIT
Luke Rockhold won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rockhold 56%44% Philippou
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -479(favors Philippou)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Philippou)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Philippou)
MiddleweightHIT
Brad Tavares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tavares 71%29% Larkin
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +174(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Tavares)
BantamweightHIT
TJ Dillashaw won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dillashaw 68%32% Easton
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +164(favors Dillashaw)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Dillashaw)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Dillashaw)
MiddleweightHIT
Yoel Romero won by KO/TKO (R3)
Romero 63%37% Brunson
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +236(favors Romero)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Romero)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.8(favors Brunson)
FlyweightMISS
John Moraga won by Decision - Split (R3)
Moraga 40%60% Ortiz
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +75(favors Moraga)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Ortiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Ortiz)
FeatherweightHIT
Cole Miller won by Submission (R2)
Miller 56%44% Sicilia
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +36(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Sicilia)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Ramsey Nijem won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nijem 80%20% Edwards
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +56(favors Nijem)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Nijem)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Nijem)
LightweightHIT
Elias Silverio won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silverio 79%21% Vallie-Flagg
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
STRONG
→Elo gap: -64(favors Vallie-Flagg)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Vallie-Flagg)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Silverio)
MiddleweightHIT
Trevor Smith won by Decision - Split (R3)
Smith 66%34% Houston
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +58(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.8(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Smith)
FlyweightMISS
Louis Smolka won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Smolka 49%51% Ozkilic
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -104(favors Ozkilic)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Ozkilic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Ozkilic)
LightweightMISS
Vinc Pichel won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pichel 38%62% Whiteley
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Whiteley)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Whiteley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Whiteley)
LightweightMISS
Beneil Dariush won by Submission (R1)
Dariush 46%54% Brenneman
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +6(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Brenneman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Brenneman)