The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale
Saturday, November 30, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Nate Diaz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Diaz 54%46% Maynard
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -147(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Maynard)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Julianna Pena won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pena 67%33% Rakoczy
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -0(favors Rakoczy)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Rakoczy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rakoczy)
BantamweightMISS
Chris Holdsworth won by Submission (R2)
Holdsworth 44%56% Grant
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Grant)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Grant)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Grant)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Jessamyn Duke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Duke 58%42% Morgan
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Morgan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Morgan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Morgan)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Raquel Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pennington 55%45% Modafferi
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Modafferi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Modafferi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Modafferi)
FeatherweightMISS
Akira Corassani won by DQ (R1)
Corassani 30%70% Blanco
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -147(favors Blanco)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Corassani)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Blanco)
FeatherweightMISS
Tom Niinimaki won by Decision - Split (R3)
Niinimaki 29%71% Yahya
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -146(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Yahya)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Yahya)
HeavyweightHIT
Jared Rosholt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosholt 53%47% Harris
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Harris)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Harris)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Harris)
WelterweightMISS
Sean Spencer won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Spencer 44%56% Dober
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -39(favors Dober)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Spencer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Dober)
FlyweightMISS
Josh Sampo won by Submission (R2)
Sampo 33%67% Benoit
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -0(favors Benoit)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Benoit)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Benoit)