The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale

Main Card

LightweightHIT

Nate Diaz

CH-III1624

Wrestler

VS

Gray Maynard

RK-II1092

All-Rounder

Nate Diaz won by KO/TKO (R1)

Diaz 59%41% Maynard

Over/UnderOver 55%

Under 45%Over 55%

LEAN

Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically

→Elo gap: -133(favors Maynard)

→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Diaz)

→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Maynard)

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Women's BantamweightHIT

Julianna Pena

CO-II1452

VS

Jessica Rakoczy

UC-I769

Julianna Pena won by KO/TKO (R1)

Pena 63%37% Rakoczy

Over/UnderUnder 56%

Under 56%Over 44%

LEAN

→Elo gap: -0(favors Rakoczy)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Rakoczy)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rakoczy)

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BantamweightMISS

Chris Holdsworth

CO-III1254

VS

Davey Grant

CO-III1291

Chris Holdsworth won by Submission (R2)

Holdsworth 38%62% Grant

Over/UnderOver 50%

Under 50%Over 50%

LEAN

→Elo gap: -0(favors Grant)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Grant)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Grant)

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Women's BantamweightHIT

Jessamyn Duke

UC-III638

VS

Peggy Morgan

PR-I873

Jessamyn Duke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)

Duke 65%35% Morgan

Over/UnderUnder 51%

Under 51%Over 49%

LEAN

→Elo gap: -0(favors Morgan)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Morgan)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Morgan)

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Women's BantamweightHIT

Raquel Pennington

CO-II1433

All-Rounder

VS

Roxanne Modafferi

RK-III1036

Striker

Raquel Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)

Pennington 55%45% Modafferi

Over/UnderOver 55%

Under 45%Over 55%

LEAN

All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically

→Elo gap: -0(favors Modafferi)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Modafferi)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Modafferi)

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FeatherweightMISS

Akira Corassani

PR-I875

Striker

VS

Maximo Blanco

RK-II1070

All-Rounder

Akira Corassani won by DQ (R1)

Corassani 31%69% Blanco

Over/UnderOver 54%

Under 46%Over 54%

CONFIDENT

Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically

→Elo gap: -196(favors Blanco)

→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Corassani)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Blanco)

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Prelims

FeatherweightMISS

Tom Niinimaki

UC-II671

VS

Rani Yahya

RK-II1127

Tom Niinimaki won by Decision - Split (R3)

Niinimaki 31%69% Yahya

Over/UnderOver 58%

Under 42%Over 58%

CONFIDENT

→Elo gap: -161(favors Yahya)

→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Yahya)

→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Yahya)

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HeavyweightHIT

Jared Rosholt

CO-III1256

Wrestler

VS

Walt Harris

CO-III1273

Striker

Jared Rosholt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)

Rosholt 52%48% Harris

Over/UnderUnder 56%

Under 56%Over 44%

TOSS-UP

Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically

→Elo gap: -0(favors Harris)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Harris)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Harris)

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WelterweightHIT

Sean Spencer

MC-II941

Striker

VS

Drew Dober

CO-III1301

All-Rounder

Sean Spencer won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)

Spencer 51%49% Dober

Over/UnderOver 56%

Under 44%Over 56%

TOSS-UP

Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically

→Elo gap: -33(favors Dober)

→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Spencer)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Dober)

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FlyweightMISS

Josh Sampo

UC-I750

VS

Ryan Benoit

PR-II836

Josh Sampo won by Submission (R2)

Sampo 38%62% Benoit

Over/UnderOver 57%

Under 43%Over 57%

LEAN

→Elo gap: -0(favors Benoit)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Benoit)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Benoit)

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